Physical Review A
Bayesian analysis of the measurements of the evolution systems for which the quantities measured are subject to a master equation
Masahiro Agu
Abstract
A Bayesian analysis of measurement process is formulated with respect to the physical quantity being subject to the master equation. The dynamical equation of the a posteriori probability distribution of the physical quantity is derived with the use of the system size expansion. The coupled nonlinear equations of the most probable path with the results of measurements taken into account and of the variance of the fluctuations around the path are derived, which are the extensions of those of the Kalman's filter in the linear control theory to the nonlinear physical system on the basis of a physically reasonable assumption, the "local nature of transition." The formula of the entropy reduction and the $H$ theorem which are associated with the measurement process are also derived.