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arXiv:2610.31515

Problem-aware sampling for bias and variance reduction in randomised Hamiltonian simulation

Brian Coyle, Jonathan H. Fetherolf, Antonio Márquez Romero, Stefano Scali, Giuseppe Buonaiuto, Josh Kirsopp

quant-phSubmitted Oct 22, 2026• Announced Oct 23, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Randomised quantum simulation algorithms such as qDRIFT reduce circuit depth by replacing deterministic product formulas with stochastic compilations, but achieving high accuracy can require many steps. In vanilla qDRIFT, Hamiltonian terms are sampled with probabilities proportional to their coefficient magnitudes. We propose StateDRIFT, a variant of qDRIFT which optimises its sampling distribution to estimate time-evolved quantities using knowledge of the initial state and target observable, with a provable truncation bound that keeps qDRIFT's guarantees. The distribution at each depth is chosen by solving an optimisation problem targeting bias and/or variance. StateDRIFT can significantly reduce the bias and variance of estimators, and hence circuit depth, which we test on short-time dynamics of lattice models and molecules under Jordan-Wigner up to 18 qubits. For example, with BeH2 StateDRIFT can reduce the number of two-qubit gates required to achieve a given accuracy from 11,201 to 983. StateDRIFT involves measuring observables and commutators on the initial state, so we propose two practical ways to estimate these: classical surrogates such as tensor networks, and classical shadows, which recover most or all of the saving from exact oracles in the systems tested.

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15 pages main text, 14 figures

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Randomised quantum simulation algorithms such as qDRIFT reduce circuit depth by replacing deterministic product formulas with stochastic compilations, but achieving high accuracy can require many steps. In vanilla qDRIFT, Hamiltonian terms are sampled with probabilities proportional to their coefficient magnitudes. We propose StateDRIFT, a variant of qDRIFT which optimises its sampling distribution to estimate time-evolved quantities using knowledge of the initial state and target observable, with a provable truncation bound that keeps qDRIFT's guarantees. The distribution at each depth is chosen by solving an optimisation problem targeting bias and/or variance. StateDRIFT can significantly reduce the bias and variance of estimators, and hence circuit depth, which we test on short-time dynamics of lattice models and molecules under Jordan-Wigner up to 18 qubits. For example, with BeH2 StateDRIFT can reduce the number of two-qubit gates required to achieve a given accuracy from 11,201 to 983. StateDRIFT involves measuring observables and commutators on the initial state, so we propose two practical ways to estimate these: classical surrogates such as tensor networks, and classical shadows, which recover most or all of the saving from exact oracles in the systems tested.
Hamiltonian simulation is a central application of quantum computing. Randomized Hamiltonian simulation approximates the target dynamics by sampling quantum circuits and often allows simpler circuit implementations. We develop a framework for randomized Hamiltonian simulation in which Hamiltonian terms are sampled with arbitrary probabilities and the corresponding short-time evolutions are implemented sequentially. The leading channel error relative to ideal time evolution is governed by the variance of the sampled generators. Minimizing the variance-based upper bound on the worst-case error recovers qDRIFT, a leading randomized Hamiltonian simulation algorithm that samples terms in proportion to their operator norms. For typical input states, however, this sampling distribution need not be optimal. Minimizing Haar-averaged error bounds instead yields sampling probabilities proportional to the Hilbert-Schmidt norms of the terms. This choice can provide smaller average-error bounds than conventional qDRIFT. For Hamiltonians expressed as sums of Pauli strings, we combine this framework with commuting Pauli grouping to obtain smaller error bounds than conventional qDRIFT at fixed RzR_zRz​ depth. Numerical benchmarks for the Sachdev-Ye-Kitaev model show error-bound improvement factors consistent with linear scaling in the number of qubits. For the 108-qubit FeMoco Hamiltonian, the error bounds are reduced by a factor of about 5.65. These results establish average-error optimization as a practical design principle for randomized Hamiltonian simulation.
Simulating quantum dynamics is one of the central applications of quantum computing. For Hamiltonians written as a sum of many terms, deterministic Trotter--Suzuki product formulas can require applying a large number of term-wise evolutions at each time step, leading to high circuit costs for large or dense systems. Randomized methods such as qDRIFT offer an alternative: each step samples only one Hamiltonian term, giving a circuit depth with no explicit dependence on the number of terms. However, when qDRIFT is used for observable estimation, high precision requires many independent random circuit realizations, resulting in a total gate complexity that scales as O(ε−3)\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-3})O(ε−3). We introduce a multilevel Monte Carlo framework for qDRIFT that reduces this sampling overhead. The method constructs a hierarchy of qDRIFT estimators with increasing circuit depths and couples adjacent levels by sharing their random Hamiltonian-term samples. This coupling makes the variance of the level differences decay with depth, allowing most samples to be taken on cheaper, coarse circuits and only a few on expensive, fine circuits. We prove that the resulting MLMC-qDRIFT estimator reduces the total gate complexity for fixed-precision observable estimation from the standard qDRIFT scaling O(ε−3)\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-3})O(ε−3) to O(ε−2log⁡2(1/ε))\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-2}\log^2(1/\varepsilon))O(ε−2log2(1/ε)), while preserving qDRIFT's lack of explicit dependence on the number of Hamiltonian terms. Numerical experiments for spin-chain dynamics confirm the predicted variance decay and demonstrate the practical gate-count savings of the multilevel construction.
Randomized Hamiltonian simulation methods are often governed by a trade-off between systematic bias and sampling overhead. We study how classical variance-reduction techniques can be applied to such methods without changing their mean channel, and therefore without introducing additional bias. As a motivating unbiased estimator, we formulate continuous time-evolution probabilistic angle interpolation (continuous TE-PAI), a quasiprobabilistic random-circuit protocol whose remaining Monte Carlo error is purely statistical. Continuous TE-PAI removes Trotter discretization error with finite-depth random circuits, whereas deterministic Trotterization does so only in the infinite-depth limit. Further, in tensor-network simulations, we demonstrate that discretization error can cause an unphysical exponential growth in the bond dimension required for Trotterized simulations, whereas comparable-depth continuous TE-PAI circuits avoid this growth. We then show that the variance of randomized product-formula-based estimators admits a canonical decomposition into a classical counting component and a quantum ordering component such that the dominant simulation overhead results from the non-commutative parts of the Hamiltonian dynamics. Motivated by this decomposition, we achieve an ≈70%\approx70\%≈70% error-reduction using the counting-component for small systems whereas our tensor-network simulations of n=30n=30n=30 spin-chain dynamics use coarser statistics tailored to the observable and estimator attaining a negligible bias and a reduction of ≈80%\approx 80\%≈80% leading to ≈91%\approx91\%≈91% and ≈96%\approx96\%≈96% sampling-cost reductions, respectively.
Randomized protocols are procedures that incorporate probabilistic choices during their execution and they play a central role in quantum algorithms, spanning Hamiltonian simulation, noise mitigation, and measurement tasks. In practical implementations, the dominant cost of such protocols typically arises from circuit execution and measurement, and depends on hardware-specific resources such as gate counts, circuit depth, runtime, or dissipated energy. We introduce a general framework for applying classical importance sampling to randomized quantum protocols. Given a cost function for running quantum circuits, the proposed approach minimizes a net-cost figure of merit that jointly captures the computational expense per circuit and the estimator variance. We further extend the framework to scenarios where the quantum computation is subject to errors arising either from algorithmic approximations or from physical noise, proving that importance sampling preserves estimator bias despite altering the sampling distribution, and to settings with error-detection schemes, where we characterize the resulting changes in the optimal sampling strategy and achievable net-cost reduction. Representative applications include the Qdrift protocol, dephasing channels, mixed-states simulation, composite observables estimation, classical shadows, and probabilistic error cancellation. Overall, our results establish a principled approach for reducing the computational resources required by randomized quantum protocols through classical sampling optimization.
Randomized product formulas such as qDrift offer a resource-efficient alternative to deterministic Trotter--Suzuki decompositions for Hamiltonian simulation, removing their polynomial dependence on the number of Hamiltonian terms. qDrift, however, is intrinsically limited to first order in the evolution time, so its query complexity remains linear in the inverse of the target accuracy, 1/ε1/ε1/ε. We introduce Pathwise Random Hamiltonian Simulation (PRHS), which extends qDrift to arbitrary order by subdividing each time step into MMM correlated slices, each evolving under a term sampled from a quasi-probability distribution that we construct in closed form and prove unique, with a bias decaying factorially in MMM. Optimizing jointly over the number of slices MMM and the number of independent blocks NNN interpolates between the standard qDrift protocol at long times and a high-precision regime where the query cost grows slower than any power of 1/ε1/ε1/ε, without requiring ancillary qubits. Numerical simulations of five molecular Hamiltonians confirm this advantage, with PRHS achieving accuracies two to four orders of magnitude beyond qDrift at equal query cost.
Simulating many-body quantum systems is a promising task for quantum computers. However, the depth of most algorithms, such as product formulas, scales with the number of terms in the Hamiltonian, and can therefore be challenging to implement on near-term, as well as early fault-tolerant quantum devices. An efficient solution is given by the stochastic compilation protocol known as qDrift, which builds random product formulas by sampling from the Hamiltonian according to the coefficients. In this work, we unify the qDrift protocol with importance sampling, allowing us to sample from arbitrary probability distributions, while controlling both the bias, as well as the statistical fluctuations. We show that the simulation cost can be reduced while achieving the same accuracy, by considering the individual simulation cost during the sampling stage. Moreover, we incorporate recent work on composite channel and compute rigorous bounds on the bias and variance, showing how to choose the number of samples, experiments, and time steps for a given target accuracy. These results lead to a more efficient implementation of the qDrift protocol, both with and without the use of composite channels. Theoretical results are confirmed by numerical simulations performed on a lattice nuclear effective field theory.