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arXiv:2609.28802

On Certifying Source Sampling Hardness in Quantum Generative Modeling

Chen-Yu Liu, Leonardo Placidi, Enrico Rinaldi

On Aqora:Chen-Yu LiuChen-Yu LiuEnrico RinaldiEnrico Rinaldi
quant-phSubmitted Sep 23, 2026• Announced Sep 25, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Quantum generative models are often motivated by circuit families whose output distributions are believed to be classically hard to sample from. When such models are trained on ordinary classical datasets, however, this hardness does not automatically transfer to the unknown data-generating distribution. We show that transferring sampling hardness via total-variation closeness from a quantum model to an unknown source requires certifying a global relation between the two distributions, thereby reducing the problem to distribution certification. Combining this reduction with existing certification lower bounds yields an exponential sample requirement for the high-entropy distributions relevant to many sampling-hardness proposals. Consequently, polynomially many samples cannot, in general, justify attributing sampling hardness to an unknown data-generating distribution. Moreover, even classically trivial distributions, such as the uniform distribution and product distributions, require exponentially many samples to certify in the absence of structural assumptions. Our results clarify the role of sampling hardness in quantum generative modeling and distinguish generator-level hardness from source-level hardness when learning from ordinary datasets.

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Quantum generative models are often motivated by circuit families whose output distributions are believed to be classically hard to sample from. When such models are trained on ordinary classical datasets, however, this hardness does not automatically transfer to the unknown data-generating distribution. We show that transferring sampling hardness via total-variation closeness from a quantum model to an unknown source requires certifying a global relation between the two distributions, thereby reducing the problem to distribution certification. Combining this reduction with existing certification lower bounds yields an exponential sample requirement for the high-entropy distributions relevant to many sampling-hardness proposals. Consequently, polynomially many samples cannot, in general, justify attributing sampling hardness to an unknown data-generating distribution. Moreover, even classically trivial distributions, such as the uniform distribution and product distributions, require exponentially many samples to certify in the absence of structural assumptions. Our results clarify the role of sampling hardness in quantum generative modeling and distinguish generator-level hardness from source-level hardness when learning from ordinary datasets.
Sampling tasks have been successful in establishing quantum advantages both in theory and experiments. This has fueled the use of quantum computers for generative modeling to create samples following the probability distribution underlying a given dataset. In particular, the potential to build generative models on classically hard distributions would immediately preclude classical simulability, due to theoretical separations. In this work, we study quantum generative models from the perspective of output distributions, showing that models that anticoncentrate are not trainable on average, including those exhibiting quantum advantage. In contrast, models outputting data from sparse distributions can be trained. We consider special cases to enhance trainability, and observe that this opens the path for classical algorithms for surrogate sampling. This observed trade-off is linked to verification of quantum processes. We conclude that quantum advantage can still be found in generative models, although its source must be distinct from anticoncentration.
Quantum generative modeling (QGM) relies on preparing quantum states and generating samples from these states as hidden---or known---probability distributions. As distributions from some classes of quantum states (circuits) are inherently hard to sample classically, QGM represents an excellent test bed for quantum supremacy experiments. Furthermore, generative tasks are increasingly relevant for industrial machine learning applications, and thus QGM is a strong candidate for demonstrating a practical quantum advantage. However, this requires that quantum circuits are trained to represent industrially relevant distributions, and the corresponding training stage has an extensive training cost for current quantum hardware in practice. In this work, we propose protocols for classical training of QGMs based on circuits of the specific type that admit an efficient gradient computation, while remaining hard to sample. In particular, we consider instantaneous quantum polynomial (IQP) circuits and their extensions. Showing their classical simulability in terms of the time complexity, sparsity, and anticoncentration properties, we develop a classically tractable way of simulating their output probability distributions, allowing classical training to a target probability distribution. The corresponding quantum sampling from IQPs can be performed efficiently, unlike when using classical sampling. We numerically demonstrate the end-to-end training of IQP circuits using probability distributions for up to 30 qubits on a regular desktop computer. When applied to industrially relevant distributions this combination of classical training with quantum sampling represents an avenue for reaching advantage in the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era.
Generative models have become central across science and industry, from image and text synthesis to the design of molecules and materials. Quantum generative models are considered one of the most promising applications for quantum computers, since a quantum circuit naturally produces samples from the distribution it encodes, and for suitable circuits that distribution is believed to be hard for any classical computer to reproduce. A leading strategy trains these models on a classical computer and reserves the quantum device for generating samples at deployment. This is possible when the training loss can be evaluated on a classical computer. A prime example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD2^22), a moment-matching loss that compares the model and the data through their Pauli-ZZZ correlations. Research so far has asked whether such models can be trained and whether their sampling is hard; whether minimizing such an objective yields a model that \emph{generalizes}, rather than one that merely reproduces the training statistics, remains poorly understood. We benchmark thirteen quantum and classical generative models by direct sampling on two application-inspired datasets: first a cardinality-constrained dataset at up to 303030 qubits and second a dataset of genomic single-nucleotide variants, whose valid set is the observed data. Models that converge the loss to the same value differ widely in how much of the unseen valid set they cover. These results indicate that a converged moment-matching loss is not a reliable measure of generalization, and that a train-classical, deploy-quantum workflow has to measure generalization by sampling the trained model, a step that at the sizes of interest is believed to require the quantum device.
Results on the hardness of approximate sampling are seen as important stepping stones toward a convincing demonstration of the superior computational power of quantum devices. The most prominent suggestions for such experiments include boson sampling, instantaneous quantum polynomial time (IQP) circuit sampling, and universal random circuit sampling. A key challenge for any such demonstration is to certify the correct implementation. For all these examples, and in fact for all sufficiently flat distributions, we show that any noninteractive certification from classical samples and a description of the target distribution requires exponentially many uses of the device. Our proofs rely on the same property that is a central ingredient for the approximate hardness results, namely, that the sampling distributions, as random variables depending on the random unitaries defining the problem instances, have small second moments.
Random circuit sampling (RCS) is a leading candidate for demonstrating quantum advantage, supported by strong complexity-theoretic evidence of hardness in the ideal setting and by rapid experimental progress to date. In practice, however, noise is unavoidable, and a central problem is to identify the noise-strength boundary between classically simulable and classically hard regimes. In this work, we establish an architecture-general hardness bound for this boundary for the standard local depolarizing noise of strength γγγ. Assuming the standard average-case #P-hardness conjecture for ideal RCS, we show that, for any circuit architecture satisfying this conjecture, noisy RCS on the same architecture remains hard to simulate classically within any inverse-polynomial total variation distance whenever γ=O(log⁡n/(nd))γ=O(\log n/(nd))γ=O(logn/(nd)) for nnn-qubit circuits of depth ddd, unless the polynomial hierarchy collapses. Crucially, noisy-RCS hardness follows without any additional conjectural or architecture-specific assumption beyond those already entering the ideal-RCS hardness framework. Our proof combines a low-degree polynomial extrapolation with a monotonicity reduction showing that efficient classical simulation at one depolarizing noise strength implies efficient simulation at every larger strength. Together, these ingredients transfer the standard ideal-RCS hardness conjecture to sampling hardness at a prespecified noise strength. Finally, combining the convergence-to-uniformity result of Dalzell et al. [Commun. Math. Phys. 405, 78 (2024)] with our monotonicity reduction yields efficient classical simulation for γ=ω(log⁡n/(nd))γ=ω(\log n/(nd))γ=ω(logn/(nd)) on layered, regularly connected architectures. Thus, wherever the two architectural settings overlap, this identifies γ=Θ(log⁡n/(nd))γ=Θ(\log n/(nd))γ=Θ(logn/(nd)) as the asymptotic complexity-transition scale.
Recent work on the instantaneous quantum polynomial-time (IQP) quantum-circuit Born machine (QCBM) highlights a promising paradigm for generative modeling: train classically, deploy quantumly. In this setting, the training objective can be evaluated efficiently on a classical computer, while sampling from the resulting model may still be classically intractable. Furthermore, in the IQP-QCBM framework, extending the model family with ancillary qubits has been proven to yield universality. This paper asks whether similar results hold for linear-optical generative models. To this end, we introduce the Boson Sampling Born Machine (BSBM). Our analysis retraces analogous steps as were found for IQP-QCBMs with twists. Using recent results that enable classical approximation of broad classes of expectation values in linear optics, we show that BSBMs can be trained classically for wide families of loss functions. Next, we argue that "basic" BSBMs are not universal generative models, and that universality can be achieved by expanding the model while preserving efficient classical training and sampling hardness. In our approach, we introduce and analyze the role of constant-function postprocessing, generalizing the construction for IQP-QCBMs, which under suitable conditions can lead to universality while preserving the hardness of classically simulating the models. We showcase a family of BSBMs, characterized by a single hyperparameter, that allows for a monotonic increase in expressivity toward universality while retaining the capacity to represent ostensibly hard distributions. Furthermore, we discuss the possible modalities for the efficient classical training, in the sense of efficient estimation of gradients of the loss function.