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arXiv:2609.20594

Recursive Quantum Long Short-Term Memory for Stable Short-Horizon Temperature Forecasting

Mu-En Lee, Yen-Ku Liu, Samuel Yen-Chi Chen, Yun‐Cheng Tsai

Published Sep 17, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Quantum long short-term memory (QLSTM) models extend recurrent sequence learning with variational quantum circuits, but their optimization behavior can vary substantially across random initializations and temporal contexts. This paper evaluates a recursive QLSTM architecture against a standard QLSTM for one-step-ahead prediction of daily minimum and maximum temperature. Using daily weather observations from Toronto and identical training settings, we compare convergence, predictive accuracy, and generalization across input windows of 8, 16, and 32 days over 20 random seeds. The recursive model consistently reaches a near-optimal test loss earlier, reduces mean absolute error and root mean squared error, and exhibits a smaller generalization gap. These results indicate that recursive quantum feature transformations can improve stability and out-of-sample performance for compact hybrid quantum--classical temporal models.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2609.20594

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Long short-term memory (LSTM) is a kind of recurrent neural networks (RNN) for sequence and temporal dependency data modeling and its effectiveness has been extensively established. In this work, we propose a hybrid quantum-classical model of LSTM, which we dub QLSTM. We demonstrate that the proposed model successfully learns several kinds of temporal data. In particular, we show that for certain testing cases, this quantum version of LSTM converges faster, or equivalently, reaches a better accuracy, than its classical counterpart. Due to the variational nature of our approach, the requirements on qubit counts and circuit depth are eased, and our work thus paves the way toward implementing machine learning algorithms for sequence modeling on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices.
Quantum machine learning (QML) offers new perspectives for modeling complex sequential data by leveraging the computational advantages of quantum computing. In this work, we explore the application of Quantum Long Short-Term Memory (QLSTM) networks for sequence prediction tasks. By integrating parameterized quantum circuits within the classical LSTM architecture, QLSTM models exploit quantum parallelism and entanglement to learn temporal dependencies in data more efficiently. We evaluate the performance of QLSTM on synthetic and real-world sequence prediction tasks and compare it with its classical counterpart. The results demonstrate that QLSTM models achieve competitive performance with fewer trainable parameters, indicating their potential as lightweight and efficient models for sequence learning and prediction.