Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Log inSign up
Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Blog
Job Board
Q3AS

© 2026 Aqora Quantum S.A.S.

TermsPrivacyLegal Notice

arXiv:2608.06145

Quantum Amplitude Estimation for Travel Time Estimation in Stochastic Vehicle Routing Problems

Xingyue Wang, Monika Filipovska

quant-phSubmitted Aug 6, 2026• Announced Aug 7, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Solving the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) in Stochastic Transportation Networks (STNs), a core task in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), introduces estimation challenges for stochastic path travel times and the resulting VRP objective function. These challenges have typically been addressed through computationally expensive sampling-based techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, whose performance depends on sample size, the sampling strategy, and the underlying travel time distributions. To address these issues, this study proposes and validates a quantum computing technique, Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) for path-level travel time estimation in STNs. Without relying on sampling or prior assumptions of the travel time distribution, the proposed framework encodes all feasible travel time realizations into a quantum superposition, enabling a theoretical quadratic speed-up over Monte Carlo simulation. Four QAE variants are implemented in IBM's Qiskit framework, namely Canonical AE (CAE), Iterative AE (IAE), Maximum Likelihood AE (MLAE), and Faster AE (FAE), together with four rotation-angle scaling strategies for handling different discrete travel time distributions. Experiments on a small-scale STN show that the choice of scaling method and rotation-angle range significantly affects estimation accuracy, while the four QAE variants produce comparable estimates across all tested conditions, with IAE exhibiting the most stable overall performance. The results provide practical guidance on parameter selection for future hybrid quantum-classical optimization frameworks in ITS applications.

Related papers

Call Option Pricing Using Quantum Amplitude Estimation: A Comparative Study with Monte Carlo Simulation

Kasidit Asavakittikawin, Somporn Punpocha

Option pricing is a fundamental problem in quantitative finance, where the accuracy and efficiency of valuation methods directly affect investment and risk management decisions. While the Black-Scholes model provides a closed-form solution for European options, numerical approaches such as Monte Carlo simulation are widely used when analytical methods are intractable. However, Monte Carlo suffers from slow convergence with complexity O(1/ε2).Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE), an algorithm in quantum computing, promises a quadratic speedup with complexity O(1/ε). This paper implements QAE, specifically Iterative Amplitude Estimation (IAE), for European call option pricing and compares its performance against Monte Carlo simulation and the Black-Scholes model. Experiments are conducted on both Qiskit simulators and IBM Quantum hardware (ibm_brisbane).Results show that QAE achieves estimates close to Monte Carlo and analytical benchmarks, with mean payoff deviations of less than 0.01. While QAE produces wider confidence intervals due to noise and discretization, the findings demonstrate its potential scalability advantage for future quantum finance applications.

International Computer Science and Engineering Conference•Nov 2, 2025•0 citations

Quantum Amplitude Estimation for Probabilistic Methods in Power Systems

Jong, Emilie, Brynjar Sævarsson, Hjörtur Jóhannsson +1 more

This paper introduces quantum computing methods for Monte Carlo simulations in power systems which are expected to be exponentially faster than their classical computing counterparts. Monte Carlo simulations is a fundamental method, widely used in power systems to estimate key parameters of unknown probability distributions, such as the mean value, the standard deviation, or the value at risk. It is, however, very computationally intensive. Approaches based on Quantum Amplitude Estimation can offer a quadratic speedup, requiring orders of magnitude less samples to achieve the same accuracy. This paper explains three Quantum Amplitude Estimation methods to replace the Classical Monte Carlo method, namely the Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation (IQAE), Maximum Likelihood Amplitude Estimation (MLAE), and Faster Amplitude Estimation (FAE), and compares their performance for three different types of probability distributions for power systems.

arXiv:2309.17299•Sep 29, 2023•2 citations

The Quantum Amplitude Estimation Algorithms on Near-Term Devices: A Practical Guide

Marco Maronese, Massimiliano Incudini, Luca Asproni +1 more

The Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) algorithm is a major quantum algorithm designed to achieve a quadratic speed-up. Until fault-tolerant quantum computing is achieved, being competitive over classical Monte Carlo (MC) remains elusive. Alternative methods have been developed so as to require fewer resources while maintaining an advantageous theoretical scaling. We compared the standard QAE algorithm with two Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ)-friendly versions of QAE on a numerical integration task, with the Monte Carlo technique of Metropolis–Hastings as a classical benchmark. The algorithms were evaluated in terms of the estimation error as a function of the number of samples, computational time, and length of the quantum circuits required by the solutions, respectively. The effectiveness of the two QAE alternatives was tested on an 11-qubit trapped-ion quantum computer in order to verify which solution can first provide a speed-up in the integral estimation problems. We concluded that an alternative approach is preferable with respect to employing the phase estimation routine. Indeed, the Maximum Likelihood estimation guaranteed the best trade-off between the length of the quantum circuits and the precision in the integral estimation, as well as greater resistance to noise.

Quantum Reports•Dec 24, 2023•7 citations

Solving Vehicle Routing Problem Using Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm

Utkarsh Azad, Bikash K. Behera, Emad A. Ahmed +2 more

Intelligent transportation systems (ITS) are a critical component of Industry 4.0 and 5.0, particularly having applications in logistic management. One of their crucial utilization is in supply-chain management and scheduling for optimally routing transportation of goods by vehicles at a given set of locations. This paper discusses the broader problem of vehicle traffic management, more popularly known as the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP), and investigates the possible use of near-term quantum devices for solving it. For this purpose, we give the Ising formulation for VRP and some of its constrained variants. Then, we present a detailed procedure to solve VRP by minimizing its corresponding Ising Hamiltonian using a hybrid quantum-classical heuristic called Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA), implemented on the IBM Qiskit platform. We compare the performance of QAOA with classical solvers such as CPLEX on problem instances of up to 15 qubits. We find that performance of QAOA has a multifaceted dependence on the classical optimization routine used, the depth of the ansatz parameterized by$p$, initialization of variational parameters, and problem instance itself.

arXiv:2002.01351•IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems•May 13, 2022•149 citations

Variational Quantum Algorithms for Solving Vehicle Routing Problem

Muhammad Alsaiyari, Muhamad Felemban

Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) is considered one of the most challenging problems with application in several domains, including transportation and logistics distribution. VRP is known to be NP-Hard problem. Several algorithms have been proposed to solve VRP in polynomial time. However, these algorithms are inefficient if the VRP instance increases. Recently, researchers investigated how quantum computing can be used to solve VRP. In particular, two promising variational quantum algorithms have been studied, i.e., Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) and Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA). In this paper, we implement both algorithms on IBM Qiskit and compare their evaluation in solving several instances of VRP. We observe that current Noisy-Intermediate Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices cannot solve VRP instances beyond 5 nodes and 2 vehicles. Furthermore, we observe that classical optimizers still provide better results. However, we believe that with the rapid advancement of quantum computing manufacturing, VQE and QAOA can provide better performance as compared to classical computing,

International Conference on Smart Computing and Application (ICSCA)•Feb 5, 2023•8 citations

Hardware-Efficient Quantum Optimization for Transportation Networks via Compressed Adiabatic Evolution

Talha Azfar, Ruimin Ke, Sean He +2 more

Transportation systems such as urban logistics, vehicle routing, and infrastructure planning require solving large-scale combinatorial optimization problems under complex constraints. Problems such as the vehicle routing problem (VRP), traveling salesman problem (TSP), and facility location problem (FLP) involve large discrete search spaces and the need to generate multiple feasible solutions in real time. In this work, we develop a hardware-grounded hybrid quantum optimization framework that uses Approximate Quantum Compilation (AQC) to compress early segments of digitized adiabatic evolution into shallow circuits. The compressed prefix is combined with variational layers, enabling a systematic study of how initialization, circuit depth, and expressivity interact on near-term quantum hardware. All experiments are performed on an IBM gate-based quantum computer, and circuits are evaluated as stochastic generators of candidate transportation plans. Results show that moderate prefix compression reduces two-qubit gate depth while maintaining or improving feasible solution discovery, particularly for routing problems. These benefits depend on compatibility between the compressed prefix and the variational ansatz: while standard QAOA effectively leverages AQC initialization, linear-chain QAOA shows limited improvement. Overall, this work demonstrates that hybrid AQC-QAOA methods provide a practical pathway for hardware-efficient quantum optimization, positioning quantum algorithms as candidate generators within transportation decision-making workflows.

quant-pharXiv:2604.26175•Apr 30, 2026•0 citations
Solving the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) in Stochastic Transportation Networks (STNs), a core task in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), introduces estimation challenges for stochastic path travel times and the resulting VRP objective function. These challenges have typically been addressed through computationally expensive sampling-based techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, whose performance depends on sample size, the sampling strategy, and the underlying travel time distributions. To address these issues, this study proposes and validates a quantum computing technique, Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) for path-level travel time estimation in STNs. Without relying on sampling or prior assumptions of the travel time distribution, the proposed framework encodes all feasible travel time realizations into a quantum superposition, enabling a theoretical quadratic speed-up over Monte Carlo simulation. Four QAE variants are implemented in IBM's Qiskit framework, namely Canonical AE (CAE), Iterative AE (IAE), Maximum Likelihood AE (MLAE), and Faster AE (FAE), together with four rotation-angle scaling strategies for handling different discrete travel time distributions. Experiments on a small-scale STN show that the choice of scaling method and rotation-angle range significantly affects estimation accuracy, while the four QAE variants produce comparable estimates across all tested conditions, with IAE exhibiting the most stable overall performance. The results provide practical guidance on parameter selection for future hybrid quantum-classical optimization frameworks in ITS applications.
Option pricing is a fundamental problem in quantitative finance, where the accuracy and efficiency of valuation methods directly affect investment and risk management decisions. While the Black-Scholes model provides a closed-form solution for European options, numerical approaches such as Monte Carlo simulation are widely used when analytical methods are intractable. However, Monte Carlo suffers from slow convergence with complexity O(1/ε2).Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE), an algorithm in quantum computing, promises a quadratic speedup with complexity O(1/ε). This paper implements QAE, specifically Iterative Amplitude Estimation (IAE), for European call option pricing and compares its performance against Monte Carlo simulation and the Black-Scholes model. Experiments are conducted on both Qiskit simulators and IBM Quantum hardware (ibm_brisbane).Results show that QAE achieves estimates close to Monte Carlo and analytical benchmarks, with mean payoff deviations of less than 0.01. While QAE produces wider confidence intervals due to noise and discretization, the findings demonstrate its potential scalability advantage for future quantum finance applications.
This paper introduces quantum computing methods for Monte Carlo simulations in power systems which are expected to be exponentially faster than their classical computing counterparts. Monte Carlo simulations is a fundamental method, widely used in power systems to estimate key parameters of unknown probability distributions, such as the mean value, the standard deviation, or the value at risk. It is, however, very computationally intensive. Approaches based on Quantum Amplitude Estimation can offer a quadratic speedup, requiring orders of magnitude less samples to achieve the same accuracy. This paper explains three Quantum Amplitude Estimation methods to replace the Classical Monte Carlo method, namely the Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation (IQAE), Maximum Likelihood Amplitude Estimation (MLAE), and Faster Amplitude Estimation (FAE), and compares their performance for three different types of probability distributions for power systems.
The Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) algorithm is a major quantum algorithm designed to achieve a quadratic speed-up. Until fault-tolerant quantum computing is achieved, being competitive over classical Monte Carlo (MC) remains elusive. Alternative methods have been developed so as to require fewer resources while maintaining an advantageous theoretical scaling. We compared the standard QAE algorithm with two Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ)-friendly versions of QAE on a numerical integration task, with the Monte Carlo technique of Metropolis–Hastings as a classical benchmark. The algorithms were evaluated in terms of the estimation error as a function of the number of samples, computational time, and length of the quantum circuits required by the solutions, respectively. The effectiveness of the two QAE alternatives was tested on an 11-qubit trapped-ion quantum computer in order to verify which solution can first provide a speed-up in the integral estimation problems. We concluded that an alternative approach is preferable with respect to employing the phase estimation routine. Indeed, the Maximum Likelihood estimation guaranteed the best trade-off between the length of the quantum circuits and the precision in the integral estimation, as well as greater resistance to noise.
Intelligent transportation systems (ITS) are a critical component of Industry 4.0 and 5.0, particularly having applications in logistic management. One of their crucial utilization is in supply-chain management and scheduling for optimally routing transportation of goods by vehicles at a given set of locations. This paper discusses the broader problem of vehicle traffic management, more popularly known as the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP), and investigates the possible use of near-term quantum devices for solving it. For this purpose, we give the Ising formulation for VRP and some of its constrained variants. Then, we present a detailed procedure to solve VRP by minimizing its corresponding Ising Hamiltonian using a hybrid quantum-classical heuristic called Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA), implemented on the IBM Qiskit platform. We compare the performance of QAOA with classical solvers such as CPLEX on problem instances of up to 15 qubits. We find that performance of QAOA has a multifaceted dependence on the classical optimization routine used, the depth of the ansatz parameterized byppp, initialization of variational parameters, and problem instance itself.
Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) is considered one of the most challenging problems with application in several domains, including transportation and logistics distribution. VRP is known to be NP-Hard problem. Several algorithms have been proposed to solve VRP in polynomial time. However, these algorithms are inefficient if the VRP instance increases. Recently, researchers investigated how quantum computing can be used to solve VRP. In particular, two promising variational quantum algorithms have been studied, i.e., Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) and Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA). In this paper, we implement both algorithms on IBM Qiskit and compare their evaluation in solving several instances of VRP. We observe that current Noisy-Intermediate Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices cannot solve VRP instances beyond 5 nodes and 2 vehicles. Furthermore, we observe that classical optimizers still provide better results. However, we believe that with the rapid advancement of quantum computing manufacturing, VQE and QAOA can provide better performance as compared to classical computing,
Transportation systems such as urban logistics, vehicle routing, and infrastructure planning require solving large-scale combinatorial optimization problems under complex constraints. Problems such as the vehicle routing problem (VRP), traveling salesman problem (TSP), and facility location problem (FLP) involve large discrete search spaces and the need to generate multiple feasible solutions in real time. In this work, we develop a hardware-grounded hybrid quantum optimization framework that uses Approximate Quantum Compilation (AQC) to compress early segments of digitized adiabatic evolution into shallow circuits. The compressed prefix is combined with variational layers, enabling a systematic study of how initialization, circuit depth, and expressivity interact on near-term quantum hardware. All experiments are performed on an IBM gate-based quantum computer, and circuits are evaluated as stochastic generators of candidate transportation plans. Results show that moderate prefix compression reduces two-qubit gate depth while maintaining or improving feasible solution discovery, particularly for routing problems. These benefits depend on compatibility between the compressed prefix and the variational ansatz: while standard QAOA effectively leverages AQC initialization, linear-chain QAOA shows limited improvement. Overall, this work demonstrates that hybrid AQC-QAOA methods provide a practical pathway for hardware-efficient quantum optimization, positioning quantum algorithms as candidate generators within transportation decision-making workflows.