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arXiv:2607.15060

Learning the Fermion sign structure in path-integral Monte Carlo

Jarvist Moore Frost

Published Jul 16, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Starting from a \emph{probabilistic numerics} approach to the Fermion sign problem in path integral Monte Carlo, we recast the arithmetic calculation of a Fermionic observable as a statistical inference problem. We develop approaches that learn the behaviour of Fermion exchange cycles binned by the conjugacy class of the permutation group (which we term `permutation family'). This extends the work of DuBois, Brown and Alder\cite{dubois2017overcoming} to inhomogeneous and more complex systems. Monte Carlo samples are used to train models for both the probability of a permutation family and the energy of this set of exchange permutations. The overall Fermionic energy is then directly inferred from these models, without using a direct ratio estimator on the Monte Carlo samples. By imposing physical understanding as inductive priors, we produce accurate and useful fits that remain robust even in regimes with severe sign problems. We generalise the linear (ideal-gas style) models of DuBois et al. with Bayesian priors that enforce the intuitive models of Feynman\cite{Feynman1953A} at their asymptotic limits. These linear models serve as the baseline for a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, which is tasked with learning only the residual many-body \emph{correlations} on top of the physical model. We develop active important sampling methods driven by these models, which direct the Monte Carlo chains toward undersampled permutation regions, to efficiently reduce the variance in the observable. We apply this framework to small experiments on benchmark systems: the spin-polarised uniform electron gas, and electrons in a 2D harmonic confining potential. In both cases we demonstrate that this inference-based framework can extract stable energies in regimes where direct Monte Carlo sampling fails due to the sign problem.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2607.15060

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Starting from a \emph{probabilistic numerics} approach to the Fermion sign problem in path integral Monte Carlo, we recast the arithmetic calculation of a Fermionic observable as a statistical inference problem. We develop approaches that learn the behaviour of Fermion exchange cycles binned by the conjugacy class of the permutation group (which we term `permutation family'). This extends the work of DuBois, Brown and Alder\cite{dubois2017overcoming} to inhomogeneous and more complex systems. Monte Carlo samples are used to train models for both the probability of a permutation family and the energy of this set of exchange permutations. The overall Fermionic energy is then directly inferred from these models, without using a direct ratio estimator on the Monte Carlo samples. By imposing physical understanding as inductive priors, we produce accurate and useful fits that remain robust even in regimes with severe sign problems. We generalise the linear (ideal-gas style) models of DuBois et al. with Bayesian priors that enforce the intuitive models of Feynman\cite{Feynman1953A} at their asymptotic limits. These linear models serve as the baseline for a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, which is tasked with learning only the residual many-body \emph{correlations} on top of the physical model. We develop active important sampling methods driven by these models, which direct the Monte Carlo chains toward undersampled permutation regions, to efficiently reduce the variance in the observable. We apply this framework to small experiments on benchmark systems: the spin-polarised uniform electron gas, and electrons in a 2D harmonic confining potential. In both cases we demonstrate that this inference-based framework can extract stable energies in regimes where direct Monte Carlo sampling fails due to the sign problem.
In general, Quantum Monte Carlo methods suffer from a sign problem when simulating fermionic systems. This causes the efficiency of a simulation to decrease exponentially with the number of particles and inverse temperature. To circumvent this issue, a nodal constraint is often implemented, restricting the Monte Carlo procedure from sampling paths that cause the many-body density matrix to change sign. Unfortunately, this high-dimensional nodal surface is not a priori known unless the system is exactly solvable, resulting in uncontrolled errors. We will discuss two possible routes to extend the applicability of finite-temperatue path integral Monte Carlo. First we extend the regime where signful simulations are possible through a novel permutation sampling scheme. Afterwards, we discuss a method to variationally improve the nodal surface by minimizing a free energy during simulation. Applications of these methods will include both free and interacting electron gases, concluding with discussion concerning extension to inhomogeneous systems.
The ab initio path integral Monte Carlo (PIMC) method is one of the most successful methods in statistical physics, quantum chemistry and related fields, but its application to quantum degenerate Fermi systems is severely hampered by an exponential computational bottleneck: the notorious fermion sign problem. Very recently, Xiong and Xiong [J. Chem. Phys. 157, 094112 (2022)] have suggested to partially circumvent the sign problem by carrying out simulations of fictitious systems guided by an interpolating continuous variable ξ ∈ [-1, 1], with the physical Fermi- and Bose-statistics corresponding to ξ = -1 and ξ = 1. It has been proposed that information about the fermionic limit might be obtained by calculations within the bosonic sector ξ > 0 combined with an extrapolation throughout the fermionic sector ξ < 0, essentially bypassing the sign problem. Here, we show how the inclusion of the artificial parameter ξ can be interpreted as an effective penalty on the formation of permutation cycles in the PIMC simulation. We demonstrate that the proposed extrapolation method breaks down for moderate to high quantum degeneracy. Instead, the method constitutes a valuable tool for the description of large Fermi-systems of weak quantum degeneracy. This is demonstrated for electrons in a 2D harmonic trap and for the uniform electron gas (UEG), where we find excellent agreement (∼0.5%) with exact configuration PIMC results in the high-density regime while attaining a speed-up exceeding 11 orders of magnitude. Finally, we extend the idea beyond the energy and analyze the radial density distribution (2D trap), as well as the static structure factor and imaginary-time density-density correlation function (UEG).
This work shows that the recently discovered operator contraction identity for solving the discreet Path Integral of the harmonic oscillator can be applied equally to fermions in any dimension. This then yields an exactly solvable model for studying the sign problem where the Path Integral Monte Carlo energy at any time step for any number of fermions is known analytically, or can be computed numerically. It is found that the sign problem is primarily a property of the free fermion propagator, but repulsive/attractive pairwise interaction can shift the sign problem to larger/smaller imaginary time but does not make it more severe than the non-interacting case. More surprisingly, one can prove analytically that the first closed-shell state in DDD dimension, with n=D+1n=D+1n=D+1 fermion, has no sign problem at large imaginary time. Direct numerical simulations confirm that this is also true for higher closed-shell states in two and three-dimension. Fourth-order and newly found variable-bead algorithms are used to compute ground state energies of quantum dots with up to 110 electrons and compared to results obtained by modern neural networks.
This work shows that the recently discovered operator contraction identity for solving the discrete path integral of the harmonic oscillator can be applied equally to fermions in any dimension. This then yields an exactly solvable model for studying the sign problem where the path integral Monte Carlo energy at any time step for any number of fermions is known analytically or can be computed numerically. It is found that the sign problem is primarily a property of the free fermion propagator, but repulsive/attractive pairwise interactions can shift the sign problem to larger/smaller imaginary time but do not make it more severe than the non-interacting case. More surprisingly, one can prove analytically that the first closed-shell state in D dimension, with n = D + 1 fermions, has no sign problem at large imaginary time. Direct numerical simulations confirm that this is also true for higher closed-shell states in two and three dimensions. Fourth-order and newly found variable-bead algorithms are used to compute ground state energies of quantum dots with up to 110 electrons and are compared to results obtained by modern neural networks.
The numerical sign problem is a hindrance for various areas of research that rely on stochastic sampling methods. It occurs when the sign or phase of the weight function in a path integral is not positive-definite. This leads to cancellations in the Monte Carlo sampling, which can significantly slow down convergence and render the simulation infeasible. Calculations of the Hubbard model are affected by the sign problem when the chemical potential is non-zero or when the spatial lattice is not bipartite. The overall objective of this thesis is the reduction of the sign problem in the Hubbard model with methods that may be applied to other models as well. The approach is to deform the integration contour into complex space and find a transformation that efficiently improves the distribution of the complex phase. The first publication of this cumulative thesis explores the simplest case of such a transformation, which is a constant shift of the real plane in imaginary direction. This transformation showed surprising potential and had the numerical advantage of not requiring the calculation of a Jacobian determinant, as opposed to general transformations. However, it was not obvious which offset would yield the best results. We present an algorithm that numerically approaches the optimal offset iteratively. The drawback of this method is that it relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, which comes at significant computational cost and is affected by the sign problem itself, leading to reduced reliability. Therefore, we also present two analytic approximations that can be used directly or as a starting point for the iterative algorithm. To test the method, we calculate single particle correlation functions and the charge expectation value of carbon nanostructures, such as graphene sheets and fullerenes. The second publication introduces a refinement of the iterative optimization algorithm, increasing the stability and convergence speed. This enhancement is achieved by fitting a Gaussian curve to the average phase and its first two derivatives. We again present the physical observables, now including a tetrahedron and a larger honeycomb lattice. Additionally we extract single particle energies from the correlation functions, achieving a good agreement with the exactly solvable tetrahedron. The third publication applies a group equivariant neural network as transformation. The goal was to surpass the limitations of the constant shift while keeping the model as efficient as possible. For this purpose, we encoded the physical symmetries into the model architecture. Results show the potential to reduce the sign problem further than the constant shift. A comparison with dense neural networks shows more efficient use of parameters and training data. Tests with transfer learning lead to mixed results, indicating situational applicability. Overall these developments allow for more efficient calculations of sign problem affected systems.
The ab initio thermodynamic simulation of correlated Fermi systems is of central importance for many applications, such as warm dense matter, electrons in quantum dots, and ultracold atoms. Unfortunately, path integral Monte Carlo (PIMC) simulations of fermions are severely restricted by the notorious fermion sign problem (FSP). In this paper, we present a hands-on discussion of the FSP and investigate in detail its manifestation with respect to temperature, system size, interaction-strength and -type, and the dimensionality of the system. Moreover, we analyze the probability distribution of fermionic expectation values, which can be non-Gaussian and fat-tailed when the FSP is severe. As a practical application, we consider electrons and dipolar atoms in a harmonic confinement, and the uniform electron gas in the warm dense matter regime. In addition, we provide extensive PIMC data, which can be used as a reference for the development of new methods and as a benchmark for approximations.