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arXiv:2607.03340

Measurements Number Scaling in the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm for MaxCut: A Statistical Analysis

Inbar Chefer, Uri Shaham, Adi Makmal

quant-phSubmitted Jul 3, 2026• Announced Jul 6, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

We provide a statistical analysis of the measurement (shot) requirements of the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) for the MaxCut problem. We derive sufficient conditions on the number of shots per cost operator evaluation to: (a) estimate the expected cost to within a relative error $δ$ and a confidence $1-ε$, and (b) ensure SGD-based parameter optimization converges to a target relative suboptimality level with high probability. In addition, we provide an explicit bound on the number of SGD iterations required to reach the target accuracy. Our analysis reveals an unexpected scaling phenomenon: for specific graph classes, which we formally characterize, the total shot budget needed to achieve a fixed relative-performance metric decreases as the instance size grows. This result complements earlier cost function concentration arguments regarding parameter optimization redundancy, thereby highlighting the potential for high-performance, low-overhead QAOA implementations for large-scale MaxCut instances. To assist practitioners, we translate our analytical findings into practical rules of thumb for shot-budget allocation and validate these results with numerical simulations, offering new insights into the interplay between graph size, structural complexity, and resource requirements in QAOA.

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arXiv:2006.04831•Quantum Science and Technology•Apr 22, 2022•33 citations
We provide a statistical analysis of the measurement (shot) requirements of the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) for the MaxCut problem. We derive sufficient conditions on the number of shots per cost operator evaluation to: (a) estimate the expected cost to within a relative error δδδ and a confidence 1−ε1-ε1−ε, and (b) ensure SGD-based parameter optimization converges to a target relative suboptimality level with high probability. In addition, we provide an explicit bound on the number of SGD iterations required to reach the target accuracy. Our analysis reveals an unexpected scaling phenomenon: for specific graph classes, which we formally characterize, the total shot budget needed to achieve a fixed relative-performance metric decreases as the instance size grows. This result complements earlier cost function concentration arguments regarding parameter optimization redundancy, thereby highlighting the potential for high-performance, low-overhead QAOA implementations for large-scale MaxCut instances. To assist practitioners, we translate our analytical findings into practical rules of thumb for shot-budget allocation and validate these results with numerical simulations, offering new insights into the interplay between graph size, structural complexity, and resource requirements in QAOA.
The Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) has emerged as a promising approach for addressing combinatorial optimization problems on near-term quantum hardware. In this work, we conduct an empirical evaluation of QAOA on the Max-Cut problem, using the Goemans-Williamson (GW) algorithm as a classical baseline for comparison. Unlike many prior studies, our methodology treats QAOA implementations as black-box optimizers, relying solely on default parameter settings without manual fine-tuning. We evaluate specific off-the-shelf QAOA implementations under default settings, not the algorithmic potential of QAOA with optimized parameters. This reflects a more realistic use case for end users who may lack the resources or expertise for instance-specific optimization. To facilitate fair and informative evaluation, we construct benchmark instances using well-known graph generation models that emulate practical graph structures, avoiding synthetic constructions tailored to either quantum or classical algorithms. A central component of our analysis is a per-shot statistical framework, which tracks the quality of QAOA outputs as a function of the number of circuit executions. This enables probabilistic comparisons with the GW algorithm by examining when and how frequently QAOA surpasses classical performance baselines such as the GW expectation and lower bound. Our results provide insight into the practical applicability of QAOA for Max-Cut and highlight its current limitations, offering a framework that can guide the assessment and development of future QAOA implementations.
The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) is a leading variational approach to combinatorial optimization, but its practical performance depends strongly on objective design, parameter search, and shot allocation. We present a resource-efficient QAOA framework that uses the cut value of the most probable measured bitstring as the optimization objective, combines it with Bayesian optimization, and adaptively allocates shots using dual criteria based on mode confidence and normalized cut-value variance. Numerical experiments on 3-regular MaxCut show that, for both unweighted and weighted instances, the proposed scheme achieves discrete-solution quality comparable to that of the conventional expectation-based objective while typically requiring fewer total shots to reach the same final mode accuracy. These results indicate that reorganizing QAOA around the maximum-probability bitstring provides an effective route to improving practical performance under limited measurement budgets.
The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) is an approach for near-term quantum computers to potentially demonstrate computational advantage in solving combinatorial optimization problems. However, the viability of the QAOA depends on how its performance and resource requirements scale with problem size and complexity for realistic hardware implementations. Here, we quantify scaling of the expected resource requirements by synthesizing optimized circuits for hardware architectures with varying levels of connectivity. Assuming noisy gate operations, we estimate the number of measurements needed to sample the output of the idealized QAOA circuit with high probability. We show the number of measurements, and hence total time to solution, grows exponentially in problem size and problem graph degree as well as depth of the QAOA ansatz, gate infidelities, and inverse hardware graph degree. These problems may be alleviated by increasing hardware connectivity or by recently proposed modifications to the QAOA that achieve higher performance with fewer circuit layers.
This study presents a rigorous empirical evaluation of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) within a hybrid quantum-classical framework for solving the NP-hard Max-Cut problem. Using Python and Qiskit Aer statevector simulations, we benchmark QAOA (depths p = 2 and p = 3) against established classical algorithms, including simulated annealing, the Goemans–Williamson algorithm, and greedy heuristics, across Erdős–Rényi and regular graphs with 4 to 20 nodes (100 instances per size). Results demonstrate that low-depth QAOA suffers from significant performance degradation, achieving a 0.467 approximation ratio at 20 nodes compared to 0.856 for Goemans–Williamson, alongside a 210× runtime overhead. Convergence analysis further reveals low optimality probabilities and high iteration costs, highlighting limitations of variational optimization in NISQ-era devices. This work provides a reproducible benchmarking framework and contributes to a realistic assessment of near-term quantum advantage.
This study presents a rigorous empirical evaluation of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) within a hybrid quantum-classical framework for solving the NP-hard Max-Cut problem. Using Python and Qiskit Aer statevector simulations, we benchmark QAOA (depths p = 2 and p = 3) against established classical algorithms, including simulated annealing, the Goemans–Williamson algorithm, and greedy heuristics, across Erdős–Rényi and regular graphs with 4 to 20 nodes (100 instances per size). Results demonstrate that low-depth QAOA suffers from significant performance degradation, achieving a 0.467 approximation ratio at 20 nodes compared to 0.856 for Goemans–Williamson, alongside a 210× runtime overhead. Convergence analysis further reveals low optimality probabilities and high iteration costs, highlighting limitations of variational optimization in NISQ-era devices. This work provides a reproducible benchmarking framework and contributes to a realistic assessment of near-term quantum advantage.
Abstract The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) is a hybrid quantum–classical algorithm to solve binary-variable optimization problems. Due to the short circuit depth and its expected robustness to systematic errors it is a promising candidate likely to run on near-term quantum devices. We simulate the performance of QAOA applied to the Max-Cut problem and compare it with some of the best classical alternatives. When comparing solvers, their performance is characterized by the computational time taken to achieve a given quality of solution. Since QAOA is based on sampling, we utilize performance metrics based on the probability of observing a sample above a certain quality. In addition, we show that the QAOA performance varies significantly with the graph type. In particular for three-regular random graphs, QAOA performance shows improvement by up to two orders of magnitude compared to previous estimates, strongly reducing the performance gap with classical alternatives. This was possible by reducing the number of function evaluations per iteration and optimizing the variational parameters on small graph instances and transferring to large via training. Because QAOA’s performance guarantees are only known for limited applications and contexts, we utilize a framework for the search for quantum advantage which incorporates a large number of problem instances and all three classical solver modalities: exact, approximate, and heuristic.