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arXiv:2606.26009

Is Variational Monte Carlo Robust? Sharp Moment Thresholds and Heavy-tailed Stochastic Optimization

Philipp Grohs, Davide Nobile

Published Jun 24, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a central algorithm in electronic structure theory and has gained renewed importance through modern neural-network ansätze such as FermiNet. At its core, VMC seeks ground states by minimizing the Rayleigh quotient by stochastic optimization. In this work, we show that the resulting stochastic optimization problem is intrinsically governed by the nodal geometry of the underlying wave function. More precisely, we establish that properties of the nodal set determine the integrability of the local energy and gradient estimators that drive VMC. For broad and practically relevant ansatz classes, including Slater-Jastrow wave functions with variable-exponent Slater-type orbitals, we prove that these estimators are generically heavy-tailed and fail to admit higher moments. At the same time, for general analytic ansätze, we prove weak moment bounds for the relevant estimators and identify precise low-moment regimes, showing how generic and degenerate nodal structures lead to different integrability thresholds. Building on this analysis, we introduce a new robust variant of VMC $\unicode{x2013}$ coined PS-Clip-VMC $\unicode{x2013}$ which is based on clipping both the local energies and the per-sample gradients. We prove that PS-Clip-VMC converges both in expectation and with high probability in the weak moment regime of VMC. The robustness of our method is confirmed experimentally by training FermiNet on atoms with up to 18 electrons.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2606.26009

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Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators that form the backbone of the method can become unstable or biased due to the presence of nodes, a ubiquitous feature of quantum wave functions. In the continuum, this results in heavy-tailed estimators with potentially divergent variances, while in discrete Hilbert spaces the sampling distribution can miss parts of the support needed to form unbiased estimators. These statistical pathologies lead to unreliable optimization trajectories in stochastic reconfiguration or incorrect variational dynamics in time-dependent Variational Monte Carlo (t-VMC), and severely limit the power of the numerical simulations. We introduce blurred sampling to address these difficulties. The method has a number of rigorous properties that make it well-behaved, effective and computationally efficient. Additionally, it is a post-processing approach that can be used without modifying the underlying sampler and incurs only minimal overhead. We demonstrate its effectiveness in a broad range of problems -- including ground state optimization in both continuum and discrete settings, as well as in time-dependent variational Monte Carlo, where it resolves previously identified failure modes -- and further apply it to large-scale problems in spin dynamics. This work establishes a broadly applicable framework for robust VMC and t-VMC calculations.

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Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is an approach for computing ground-state wave functions that has recently become more powerful due to the introduction of neural network-based wave-function parametrizations. However, efficiently training neural wave functions to converge to an energy minimum remains a difficult problem. In this work, we analyze optimization and sampling methods used in VMC and introduce alterations to improve their performance. First, based on theoretical convergence analysis in a noiseless setting, we motivate a new optimizer that we call the Rayleigh-Gauss-Newton method, which can improve upon gradient descent and natural gradient descent to achieve superlinear convergence at no more than twice the computational cost. Second, to realize this favorable comparison in the presence of stochastic noise, we analyze the effect of sampling error on VMC parameter updates and experimentally demonstrate that it can be reduced by the parallel tempering method. In particular, we demonstrate that RGN can be made robust to energy spikes that occur when the sampler moves between metastable regions of configuration space. Finally, putting theory into practice, we apply our enhanced optimization and sampling methods to the transverse-field Ising and $XXZ$ models on large lattices, yielding ground-state energy estimates with remarkably high accuracy after just 200 parameter updates.

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Neural network parametrizations have increasingly been used to represent the ground and excited states in variational Monte Carlo (VMC) with promising results. However, traditional VMC methods only optimize the wave function in regions of peak probability. The wave function is uncontrolled in the tails of the probability distribution, which can limit the accuracy of the trained wavefunction approximation. To improve the approximation accuracy in the probability tails, this paper interprets VMC as a gradient flow in the space of wave functions, followed by a projection step. From this perspective, arbitrary probability distributions can be used in the projection step, allowing the user to prioritize accuracy in different regions of state space. Motivated by this theoretical perspective, the paper tests a new weighted VMC method on the antiferromagnetic Heisenberg model for a periodic spin chain. Compared to traditional VMC, weighted VMC reduces the error in the ground state energy by a factor of 2 and it reduces the errors in the local energies away from the mode by large factors of $10^2$--$10^4$.

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Variational Monte Carlo for Ab Initio Electronic Structure and Quantum Chemistry with Neural Quantum States, Natural-Gradient Optimization, and Selective State-Space Models

Devanik Debnath

TitleVariational Monte Carlo for Ab Initio Electronic Structure with Neural Quantum States and Selective State-Space Models Overview This repository provides a research implementation of Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) for ab initio electronic-structure calculations using Neural Quantum States (NQS). The work focuses on stable natural-gradient optimization, physically motivated wavefunction constraints, and the exploration of alternative architectural inductive biases for modeling electronic correlation. The project is released as an exploratory research artifact. All results, limitations, and open questions are stated explicitly. The work is motivated by a central question in modern neural quantum chemistry:can alternative sequence-based architectures reduce the quadratic scaling bottleneck of electron–electron interaction modeling while preserving physical fidelity? 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Key numerical features include: Log-domain arithmetic for wavefunction evaluation Stable determinant computation using slogdet Hutchinson trace estimation for Laplacian evaluation Explicit enforcement of Kato cusp conditions via analytic Jastrow factors Multi-determinant antisymmetric ansatz to satisfy fermionic exchange symmetry SSM-Backflow Hypothesis The primary research contribution explored in this repository is the SSM-Backflow hypothesis. Most contemporary NQS models (e.g., FermiNet, PauliNet) model electron–electron interactions using explicit quadratic aggregation, leading to O(Ne2)O(N_e^2)O(Ne2) computational complexity. This work investigates an alternative inductive bias: For each electron, neighboring electrons are sorted by inter-electron distance The resulting sequence is processed using a selective state-space model (SSM) inspired by Mamba architectures Correlation information is accumulated sequentially through a learned recurrence Aggregated messages are used to parameterize backflow transformations or orbital functions This approach yields a theoretical complexity of O(Nelog⁡Ne)O(N_e \log N_e)O(NelogNe) per layer (dominated by sorting) and is motivated by the physical observation that electronic correlation typically decays approximately exponentially with distance. Importantly, this is treated strictly as a hypothesis. 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Licensing and Reuse The work is shared to encourage: Reproducibility Methodological discussion Extension and validation by the community If you use or build upon this work, please cite the Zenodo DOI associated with this release.

•Feb 17, 2026•0 citations

Improved energies and local energies with weighted variational Monte Carlo

Huan Zhang, Robert J. Webber, Michael Lindsey +2 more

Neural network parametrizations have increasingly been used to represent the ground and excited states in variational Monte Carlo (VMC) with promising results. However, traditional VMC methods only optimize the wave function in regions of peak probability. The wave function is uncontrolled in the tails of the probability distribution, which can limit the accuracy of the trained wave function. To improve the approximation accuracy in the probability tails, this paper interprets VMC as a gradient flow in the space of wave functions, followed by a projection step. From this perspective, arbitrary probability distributions can be used in the projection step, allowing the user to prioritize accuracy in different regions of state space. Motivated by this theoretical perspective, the paper tests a weighted VMC method on the antiferromagnetic Heisenberg model for a periodic spin chain. Compared to traditional VMC, weighted VMC reduces the error in the ground state energy by a factor of 2, and it reduces the errors in the local energies away from the mode by large factors of 10 2 – 10 4 .

Physical Review Research•Dec 17, 2025•0 citations
Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a central algorithm in electronic structure theory and has gained renewed importance through modern neural-network ansätze such as FermiNet. At its core, VMC seeks ground states by minimizing the Rayleigh quotient by stochastic optimization. In this work, we show that the resulting stochastic optimization problem is intrinsically governed by the nodal geometry of the underlying wave function. More precisely, we establish that properties of the nodal set determine the integrability of the local energy and gradient estimators that drive VMC. For broad and practically relevant ansatz classes, including Slater-Jastrow wave functions with variable-exponent Slater-type orbitals, we prove that these estimators are generically heavy-tailed and fail to admit higher moments. At the same time, for general analytic ansätze, we prove weak moment bounds for the relevant estimators and identify precise low-moment regimes, showing how generic and degenerate nodal structures lead to different integrability thresholds. Building on this analysis, we introduce a new robust variant of VMC \unicodex2013\unicode{x2013}\unicodex2013 coined PS-Clip-VMC \unicodex2013\unicode{x2013}\unicodex2013 which is based on clipping both the local energies and the per-sample gradients. We prove that PS-Clip-VMC converges both in expectation and with high probability in the weak moment regime of VMC. The robustness of our method is confirmed experimentally by training FermiNet on atoms with up to 18 electrons.
Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators that form the backbone of the method can become unstable or biased due to the presence of nodes, a ubiquitous feature of quantum wave functions. In the continuum, this results in heavy-tailed estimators with potentially divergent variances, while in discrete Hilbert spaces the sampling distribution can miss parts of the support needed to form unbiased estimators. These statistical pathologies lead to unreliable optimization trajectories in stochastic reconfiguration or incorrect variational dynamics in time-dependent Variational Monte Carlo (t-VMC), and severely limit the power of the numerical simulations. We introduce blurred sampling to address these difficulties. The method has a number of rigorous properties that make it well-behaved, effective and computationally efficient. Additionally, it is a post-processing approach that can be used without modifying the underlying sampler and incurs only minimal overhead. We demonstrate its effectiveness in a broad range of problems -- including ground state optimization in both continuum and discrete settings, as well as in time-dependent variational Monte Carlo, where it resolves previously identified failure modes -- and further apply it to large-scale problems in spin dynamics. This work establishes a broadly applicable framework for robust VMC and t-VMC calculations.
Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is an approach for computing ground-state wave functions that has recently become more powerful due to the introduction of neural network-based wave-function parametrizations. However, efficiently training neural wave functions to converge to an energy minimum remains a difficult problem. In this work, we analyze optimization and sampling methods used in VMC and introduce alterations to improve their performance. First, based on theoretical convergence analysis in a noiseless setting, we motivate a new optimizer that we call the Rayleigh-Gauss-Newton method, which can improve upon gradient descent and natural gradient descent to achieve superlinear convergence at no more than twice the computational cost. Second, to realize this favorable comparison in the presence of stochastic noise, we analyze the effect of sampling error on VMC parameter updates and experimentally demonstrate that it can be reduced by the parallel tempering method. In particular, we demonstrate that RGN can be made robust to energy spikes that occur when the sampler moves between metastable regions of configuration space. Finally, putting theory into practice, we apply our enhanced optimization and sampling methods to the transverse-field Ising and XXZXXZXXZ models on large lattices, yielding ground-state energy estimates with remarkably high accuracy after just 200 parameter updates.
We revisit the almost century-old question of which functional of the local energy best optimizes a trial wave function, a problem of central importance in Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) and, more recently, in Neural-Network VMC (NN-VMC). While variance optimization dates back to the 1930s, the high statistical noise and heavy-tailed local energy distributions inherent to modern neural-network wave functions have renewed interest in this approach. We retrace its long and largely forgotten history here, showing its direct relevance to modern Neural Quantum States (NQS) frameworks. Minimizing the variance (an L2L^2L2 norm) implicitly assumes a Gaussian local energy distribution: an unjustified assumption. For Coulombic systems, the local energy distribution exhibits E−4E^{-4}E−4 power-law tails, causing the Central Limit Theorem to fail for the variance estimator. This instability can be mitigated by robust cost functions: the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD, an L1L^1L1 norm), the Cauchy loss, or the L−4L_{-4}L−4​ functional, which features a tail analytically designed to match the E−4E^{-4}E−4 exponent. We benchmark these functionals on H2+H_2^+H2+​, an exactly solvable system at every internuclear distance, using the Guillemin-Zener wave function across the full potential energy curve. While energy minimization by construction yields the lowest energy, variance minimization is surpassed at every RRR by alternative functionals: MAD proves superior in the bonding region, while L−4L_{-4}L−4​ performs best in the dissociation regime.
Neural network parametrizations have increasingly been used to represent the ground and excited states in variational Monte Carlo (VMC) with promising results. However, traditional VMC methods only optimize the wave function in regions of peak probability. The wave function is uncontrolled in the tails of the probability distribution, which can limit the accuracy of the trained wavefunction approximation. To improve the approximation accuracy in the probability tails, this paper interprets VMC as a gradient flow in the space of wave functions, followed by a projection step. From this perspective, arbitrary probability distributions can be used in the projection step, allowing the user to prioritize accuracy in different regions of state space. Motivated by this theoretical perspective, the paper tests a new weighted VMC method on the antiferromagnetic Heisenberg model for a periodic spin chain. Compared to traditional VMC, weighted VMC reduces the error in the ground state energy by a factor of 2 and it reduces the errors in the local energies away from the mode by large factors of 10210^2102--10410^4104.
TitleVariational Monte Carlo for Ab Initio Electronic Structure with Neural Quantum States and Selective State-Space Models Overview This repository provides a research implementation of Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) for ab initio electronic-structure calculations using Neural Quantum States (NQS). The work focuses on stable natural-gradient optimization, physically motivated wavefunction constraints, and the exploration of alternative architectural inductive biases for modeling electronic correlation. The project is released as an exploratory research artifact. All results, limitations, and open questions are stated explicitly. The work is motivated by a central question in modern neural quantum chemistry:can alternative sequence-based architectures reduce the quadratic scaling bottleneck of electron–electron interaction modeling while preserving physical fidelity? Scientific Scope The framework targets: Atomic systems (H through Ne) Small molecules (e.g., H₂, LiH, H₂O) Exploratory extensions, including: Periodic boundary conditions Excited-state considerations Berry-phase estimation Entanglement diagnostics Time-dependent VMC via McLachlan’s variational principle At present, numerical validation is limited to a single-electron benchmark (Hydrogen) and is explicitly presented as a sanity check of the physics engine and optimization loop, not as evidence of improved expressivity for correlated fermions. Core Methodology The implementation follows the standard Variational Monte Carlo formalism, in which a parameterized wavefunctionψ is optimized by minimizing the energy expectation value Optimization is performed using Stochastic Reconfiguration (SR), a natural-gradient method that accounts for the geometry of the variational manifold and significantly improves stability compared to first-order optimizers. Key numerical features include: Log-domain arithmetic for wavefunction evaluation Stable determinant computation using slogdet Hutchinson trace estimation for Laplacian evaluation Explicit enforcement of Kato cusp conditions via analytic Jastrow factors Multi-determinant antisymmetric ansatz to satisfy fermionic exchange symmetry SSM-Backflow Hypothesis The primary research contribution explored in this repository is the SSM-Backflow hypothesis. Most contemporary NQS models (e.g., FermiNet, PauliNet) model electron–electron interactions using explicit quadratic aggregation, leading to O(Ne2)O(N_e^2)O(Ne2) computational complexity. This work investigates an alternative inductive bias: For each electron, neighboring electrons are sorted by inter-electron distance The resulting sequence is processed using a selective state-space model (SSM) inspired by Mamba architectures Correlation information is accumulated sequentially through a learned recurrence Aggregated messages are used to parameterize backflow transformations or orbital functions This approach yields a theoretical complexity of O(Nelog⁡Ne)O(N_e \log N_e)O(NelogNe) per layer (dominated by sorting) and is motivated by the physical observation that electronic correlation typically decays approximately exponentially with distance. Importantly, this is treated strictly as a hypothesis. The manuscript explicitly notes that: SSMs are not permutation-invariant by construction Sequential ordering may introduce inductive biases misaligned with fermionic symmetry Empirical validation on multi-electron systems is required before drawing conclusions Results and Current Validation Status At present, the repository reports results for atomic hydrogen (Ne = 1): Exact energy: −0.500000 Ha Achieved energy: −0.5001 Ha Error: 0.12 mHa (well below chemical accuracy) Local-energy variance: 0.0454 Optimizer: Stochastic Reconfiguration Convergence: ~100 optimization steps Because hydrogen has no electron–electron correlation, this result is interpreted solely as a sanity check of: Hamiltonian implementation Local-energy estimator Natural-gradient optimization loop Numerical stability mechanisms The manuscript clearly states that multi-electron benchmarks (e.g., He, Li, or H₂) are required to meaningfully evaluate the SSM-Backflow hypothesis and are planned for future versions. Stability and Diagnostics The implementation includes multiple practical safeguards designed to stabilize VMC optimization: Dynamic energy-based divergence detection Variance-based walker reset mechanisms Controlled respawning of walkers near nuclear centers In addition, an exploratory commutator-based diagnostic (informally termed the “Noether Inverse”) is included as a monitoring signal during training. This quantity is explicitly not claimed to represent a new conserved symmetry and is treated purely as an empirical observation requiring further theoretical and numerical investigation. Intended Use and Limitations This repository is released as: A research implementation A transparent record of an ongoing investigation A foundation for future validation and benchmarking It is not presented as a production-ready electronic-structure solver, nor as evidence of state-of-the-art performance. All limitations are explicitly documented in the manuscript. Licensing and Reuse The work is shared to encourage: Reproducibility Methodological discussion Extension and validation by the community If you use or build upon this work, please cite the Zenodo DOI associated with this release.
Neural network parametrizations have increasingly been used to represent the ground and excited states in variational Monte Carlo (VMC) with promising results. However, traditional VMC methods only optimize the wave function in regions of peak probability. The wave function is uncontrolled in the tails of the probability distribution, which can limit the accuracy of the trained wave function. To improve the approximation accuracy in the probability tails, this paper interprets VMC as a gradient flow in the space of wave functions, followed by a projection step. From this perspective, arbitrary probability distributions can be used in the projection step, allowing the user to prioritize accuracy in different regions of state space. Motivated by this theoretical perspective, the paper tests a weighted VMC method on the antiferromagnetic Heisenberg model for a periodic spin chain. Compared to traditional VMC, weighted VMC reduces the error in the ground state energy by a factor of 2, and it reduces the errors in the local energies away from the mode by large factors of 10 2 – 10 4 .