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arXiv:2606.12806

Quantum Reservoir Computing for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting in Resource-Constrained Energy Systems

Mansi Od, Param Pathak, Nouhaila Innan, Muhammad Shafique

quant-phcs.LGSubmitted Jun 11, 2026• Announced Jun 12, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Short-term load forecasting is essential for reliable energy management, but practical deployment on edge devices requires models that remain accurate under limited memory, finite measurement budgets, and hardware noise. This work proposes a hardware-efficient Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) framework for energy load forecasting, where a fixed quantum reservoir transforms temporal input windows into high-dimensional features and only a classical Elastic Net readout is trained. To reduce deployment cost, the trained readout is compressed using post-training fixed-point quantization at bit widths from 8 to 2 bits. The framework is evaluated on the Tetouan and Spain energy load datasets under exact statevector simulation, 512-shot finite sampling, and realistic hardware-noise models from IBM FakeTorino and IBM FakeMarrakesh. Results show that 6-bit readout precision preserves full-precision forecasting performance while reducing readout memory by 81.2%. Below this point, degradation becomes dataset dependent, with Tetouan showing stronger sensitivity and Spain degrading more gradually. Hardware-noise validation further shows that the trained readout transfers to noisy reservoir states without retraining. These findings support quantized QRC as a resource-aware forecasting approach for near-term quantum time-series applications.

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11 pages, 9 figures

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Short-term load forecasting is essential for reliable energy management, but practical deployment on edge devices requires models that remain accurate under limited memory, finite measurement budgets, and hardware noise. This work proposes a hardware-efficient Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) framework for energy load forecasting, where a fixed quantum reservoir transforms temporal input windows into high-dimensional features and only a classical Elastic Net readout is trained. To reduce deployment cost, the trained readout is compressed using post-training fixed-point quantization at bit widths from 8 to 2 bits. The framework is evaluated on the Tetouan and Spain energy load datasets under exact statevector simulation, 512-shot finite sampling, and realistic hardware-noise models from IBM FakeTorino and IBM FakeMarrakesh. Results show that 6-bit readout precision preserves full-precision forecasting performance while reducing readout memory by 81.2%. Below this point, degradation becomes dataset dependent, with Tetouan showing stronger sensitivity and Spain degrading more gradually. Hardware-noise validation further shows that the trained readout transfers to noisy reservoir states without retraining. These findings support quantized QRC as a resource-aware forecasting approach for near-term quantum time-series applications.
Due to rising electricity demand, accurate short-term load forecasting is increasingly important for grid stability and efficient energy management, particularly in resource-constrained edge settings. We present a hardware-efficient Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC) framework based on a fixed, untrained quantum circuit with Chebyshev feature encoding, brickwork entanglement, and single- and two-qubit Pauli measurements, avoiding quantum backpropagation entirely. Using the Tetouan City Power Consumption dataset, we examine the effect of post-training fixed-point quantization on the classical readout layer, with the reservoir architecture selected through a genetic search over 18 candidate configurations. Under finite-shot evaluation, 8-bit and 6-bit quantization maintain forecasting accuracy within 1% of the FP32 baseline while reducing readout memory by 75% and 81%, respectively. These results suggest that quantized readout can improve the hardware efficiency and deployment practicality of QRC for memory-constrained energy forecasting.
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