Scalable Quantum Reservoir Computing over Distributed Quantum Architectures
Ioannis Liliopoulos, Georgios D. Varsamis, Konstantinos Rallis, Evangelos Tsipas, Ioannis G. Karafyllidis, Georgios Ch. Sirakoulis, Panagiotis Dimitrakis
quant-phSubmitted May 6, 2026• Announced May 7, 2026• 0 citations
Reservoir computing provides an alternative to recurrent neural networks by overcoming the common problems of backpropagation through time and by training only a simple readout layer. The emerging field of quantum computing offers a new computing paradigm that promises to enhance learning through richer feature representations. In this work, we investigate quantum reservoir computing for time-series forecasting. We explore and benchmark four different architectures that combine single or multiple (distributed) reservoirs with single or multiple (distributed) ridge-regression readout layers. We evaluate these architectures using ideal and hardware-informed noisy simulations, and include both hybrid and fully quantum variants, with classical reservoir counterparts serving as a baseline. The results indicate that quantum-enhanced configurations consistently improve forecasting accuracy by reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) and the root mean squared error (RMSE) up to 78.8% and 72.3%, respectively, while distributed architectures effectively enable scaling by utilizing multiple quantum resources in a hardware-agnostic manner. These findings support distributed quantum reservoir computing as a promising, modular approach for forecasting on the quantum platforms of the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era.
Reservoir computing provides an alternative to recurrent neural networks by overcoming the common problems of backpropagation through time and by training only a simple readout layer. The emerging field of quantum computing offers a new computing paradigm that promises to enhance learning through richer feature representations. In this work, we investigate quantum reservoir computing for time-series forecasting. We explore and benchmark four different architectures that combine single or multiple (distributed) reservoirs with single or multiple (distributed) ridge-regression readout layers. We evaluate these architectures using ideal and hardware-informed noisy simulations, and include both hybrid and fully quantum variants, with classical reservoir counterparts serving as a baseline. The results indicate that quantum-enhanced configurations consistently improve forecasting accuracy by reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) and the root mean squared error (RMSE) up to 78.8% and 72.3%, respectively, while distributed architectures effectively enable scaling by utilizing multiple quantum resources in a hardware-agnostic manner. These findings support distributed quantum reservoir computing as a promising, modular approach for forecasting on the quantum platforms of the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era.
Forecasting neural activity from short recordings remains a fundamental challenge. Reservoir computing may offer an efficient paradigm for temporal prediction, however classical reservoirs typically underperform in small-data regimes. Here we investigate whether quantum reservoir computing (QRC) can help overcome this limitation. Building on recent advances, we introduce a quantum reservoir based on a transverse-field Ising model, combined with heterogeneous quantum measurements and polynomial ridge regression. On a standard benchmark task, results show that the quantum reservoir outperforms a classical counterpart overall, with prediction accuracy strongly dependent on reservoir parameters. We further demonstrate feasibility by running the same task on quantum hardware. To assess performance on biological signals, we evaluate QRC on simulated human electroencephalography (EEG) data with a parallel reservoir architecture. On this challenging task, the tested quantum reservoir did not match the performance of the classical one, but it produced stable, convergent predictions. This is a meaningful first step toward forecasting of biologically realistic neural data using a quantum reservoir. Overall, our findings indicate that although current quantum hardware and parallel reservoir architectures do not yet surpass classical methods on complex neural signals, QRC can be executed on near-term devices and does converge with realistic EEG-like data. This work establishes a practical baseline for future algorithmic and hardware developments aimed at clinical time-series forecasting with quantum systems.
Recent developments in quantum computing and machine learning have propelled the interdisciplinary study of quantum machine learning. Sequential modeling is an important task with high scientific and commercial value. Existing VQC or QNN-based methods require significant computational resources to perform the gradient-based optimization of a larger number of quantum circuit parameters. The major drawback is that such quantum gradient calculation requires a large amount of circuit evaluation, posing challenges in current near-term quantum hardware and simulation software. In this work, we approach sequential modeling by applying a reservoir computing (RC) framework to quantum recurrent neural networks (QRNN-RC) that are based on classical RNN, LSTM and GRU. The main idea to this RC approach is that the QRNN with randomly initialized weights is treated as a dynamical system and only the final classical linear layer is trained. Our numerical simulations show that the QRNN-RC can reach results comparable to fully trained QRNN models for several function approximation and time series prediction tasks. Since the QRNN training complexity is significantly reduced, the proposed model trains notably faster. In this work we also compare to corresponding classical RNN-based RC implementations and show that the quantum version learns faster by requiring fewer training epochs in most cases. Our results demonstrate a new possibility to utilize quantum neural network for sequential modeling with greater quantum hardware efficiency, an important design consideration for noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) computers.
We investigate a digital quantum reservoir computing (QRC) framework for multi-step forecasting of automated teller machine (ATM) cash demand time series on near-term quantum devices. The proposed approach uses parametrized four-qubit reservoirs with a fixed structure exploiting partial measurement and reset, where temporal data is encoded in rotation angles. Training is restricted to a classical Ridge-regression readout. We systematically analyze the impact of the circuit ansatzë, reservoir memory, measurement-derived observables, and the execution backend on the forecasting performance. Experiments are performed with noiseless simulation, noise-aware emulation, and a real IQM Spark quantum processor. Although the QRC models do not outperform the classical Prophet benchmark in terms of Mean Absolute Error and Normalized Mean Squared Error metrics, they achieve more competitive results in Dynamic Time Warping metric, indicating a partial ability to capture temporal structure. These findings provide an empirical assessment of digital QRC for realistic financial forecasting and highlight both its current limitations and its potential on near-term quantum hardware.
Motivated by the perspective of advanced time-series prediction and exploitation of Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC), we explored the design and implementation of a Hybrid Photonic-Quantum Reservoir Computing (HPQRC) paradigm. It brings together the high-speed parallelism of photonic systems with the quantum reservoir's capacity of modeling complex, nonlinear dynamics, and hence acts as a powerful tool for performing real-time prediction in resource resource-constrained environment with low latency. We have engineered a solution using this architecture to address issues like computational bottlenecks, energy inefficiency, and sensitivity to noise that are common in existing reservoir computing models. Our simulation results show that HPQRC attains much higher accuracy with lower computational time than both classical and quantum-only models. This model is robust when environments are noisy and scales well across large datasets, and therefore is suitable for application on diverse problems such as financial forecasting, industrial automation, and smart sensor networks. Our results substantiate that HPQRC performs significantly faster than traditional architectures and could be a viable and highly scalable platform for actual edge computing systems. Overall, HPQRC demonstrates significant advancements in time series modeling capabilities. In combination with enhanced predictive accuracy with reduced computational requirements, HPQRC establishes itself as an effective analytical tool for complex dynamic systems that require both precision and processing efficiency.
Recent advances in quantum computing have demonstrated its potential to significantly enhance the analysis and forecasting of complex classical data. Among these, quantum reservoir computing (QRC) has emerged as a particularly powerful approach, combining quantum computation with machine learning for modeling nonlinear temporal dependencies in high-dimensional time series. As with many data-driven disciplines, quantitative finance and econometrics can hugely benefit from emerging quantum technologies. In this work, we investigate the application of QRC for realized volatility forecasting. Our model employs a fully connected transverse-field Ising Hamiltonian as the reservoir with distinct input and memory qubits to capture temporal dependencies. The QRC approach is benchmarked against several econometric models and standard machine learning algorithms. The models are evaluated using multiple error metrics and the model confidence set procedures. To enhance interpretability and mitigate current quantum hardware limitations, we utilize wrapper-based forward selection for feature selection, identifying optimal subsets and quantifying feature importance via Shapley values. Our results indicate that the proposed quantum reservoir approach consistently outperforms benchmark models across various metrics, highlighting its potential for financial forecasting despite existing quantum hardware constraints. This work serves as a proof of concept for the applicability of quantum computing in econometrics and financial analysis, paving the way for further research into quantum-enhanced predictive modeling as quantum hardware capabilities continue to advance.
Quantum reservoir computing (QRC) offers a hardware-friendly approach to temporal learning, yet most studies target univariate signals and overlook near-term hardware constraints. This work introduces a gate-based QRC for multivariate time series (MTS-QRC) that pairs injection and memory qubits and uses a Trotterized nearest-neighbor transverse-field Ising evolution optimized for current device connectivity and depth. On Lorenz-63 and ENSO, the method achieves a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0087 and 0.0036, respectively, performing on par with classical reservoir computing on Lorenz and above learned RNNs on both, while NVAR and clustered ESN remain stronger on some settings. On IBM Heron R2, MTS-QRC sustains accuracy with realistic depths and, interestingly, outperforms a noiseless simulator on ENSO; singular value analysis indicates that device noise can concentrate variance in feature directions, acting as an implicit regularizer for linear readout in this regime. These findings support the practicality of gate-based QRC for MTS forecasting on NISQ hardware and motivate systematic studies on when and how hardware noise benefits QRC readouts.