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arXiv:2604.19832

Option Pricing on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum Computers: A Quantum Neural Network Approach

Sebastian Zając, Rafał Pracht

quant-phcs.LGSubmitted Apr 20, 2026• Announced Apr 22, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

In a global derivatives market with notional values in the hundreds of trillions of dollars, the accuracy and efficiency of pricing models are of fundamental importance, with direct implications for risk management, capital allocation, and regulatory compliance. In this work, we employ the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) framework not as an end in itself, but as a controlled benchmark environment in which to rigorously assess the capabilities of quantum machine learning methods. We propose a fully quantum approach to option pricing based on Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), and, to the best of our knowledge, present one of the first implementations of such a methodology on currently available quantum hardware. Specifically, we investigate whether QNNs, by exploiting the geometric structure of Hilbert space, can effectively approximate option pricing functions. Our implementation utilizes a compact 2-qubit QNN architecture evaluated across multiple state-of-the-art quantum processors, including IBM Fez, IQM Garnet, IonQ Forte, and Rigetti Ankaa-3. This cross-platform study reveals distinct hardware-dependent performance characteristics while demonstrating that accurate pricing approximations can be achieved consistently across different devices despite the constraints of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware. The results provide empirical evidence that QNN-based approaches constitute a viable framework for derivative pricing. While the analysis is conducted within the BSM setting, the broader significance lies in the potential extension of these methods to more realistic and computationally demanding models, including local volatility, stochastic volatility, and interest rate frameworks commonly used in practice.

Related papers

Quantum Computing in Option Pricing

Ewen, Tom

Options are financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the value of an underlying asset. These underlying assets are typically stocks, interest rates, or exchange rates, but can also include commodities such as energy or agricultural products. Options serve diverse purposes, including hedging against price volatility and speculating on market movements. Additionally, they play a critical role in assessing certain positions on the balance sheets of insurance companies, particularly in the context of solvency capital requirement calculations. As an option’s payoff lies in the future and is stochastic in nature, finding a fair price today is a non-trivial task. The focus of this work is finding quantum algorithms for calculating these prices and compare them to algorithms designed for classical computers. This work follows two different directions on how to improve on classical methods for option pricing. The first direction is improving on Monte-Carlo (MC) methods and the second one is adapting Fourier based pricing algorithms. The Amplitude Estimation (AE) algorithm promises a quadratic speedup compared to classical MC. This fact makes this algorithm an interesting candidate for improvements by quantum algorithms. It was shown in the literature, that simple options with very crude discretization of the underlying stochastic models, can be implemented on a quantum device and evaluated with AE. One big challenge is the efficient implementation of the option’s payoff profile. To solve this problem colleagues and I have introduced a multi-objective genetic algorithm to automatically find well performing and efficient circuits to implement the payoff of non-path-dependent European options on one or more underlyings. Another strategy for pricing options is based on the fact, that in many models the characteristic function of the underlying is numerically more tractable than its distribution function. There are methods that make use of this fact and the performance of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to efficiently calculate prices for European call options for many strikes in one go. The quantum version of the FFT, the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT), is in some sense, even faster than its classical counterpart. We have adapted the existing classical method to make use of QFT, to benefit from its performance. Finally, the different strategies are benchmarked and compared regarding their accuracy, their potential for scaling and their adaptability to different styles of derivatives and models. The result of this comparison are requirements on the quantum hardware for the methods to be viable as well as use cases where each method has its benefits over the others.

•Jan 1, 2025•0 citations

End-to-End PDE-Based Quantum Algorithms for Multi-Asset Option Pricing under Local and Stochastic Volatility

Nikita Guseynov, Nana Liu, Chi Seng Pun +1 more

Multi-asset option pricing under local- and stochastic-volatility models leads naturally to high-dimensional parabolic PDEs. We develop an end-to-end quantum PDE framework for European option pricing under local-volatility Black--Scholes and Heston models. The framework takes classical contract and model data as input and returns classical estimates of selected option values. We solve the pricing PDEs after finite-difference discretization on spatial grids. For $N=2^n$ grid points per spatial direction and $d$ assets, the end-to-end gate complexity for single-point recovery, counted in elementary CNOT gates and one-qubit Pauli-axis rotations, has leading grid-size dependence $\widetilde{O}(d^2 N^{2+d/2})$ for local-volatility Black--Scholes and $\widetilde{O}(d^2 N^{d+2})$ for Heston. Relative to grid-based finite-difference baselines, these scalings correspond to polynomial improvement factors $N^{d/2}$ and $N^d$, respectively. These estimates translate to Clifford+T resources via standard compilation. We complement the complexity analysis with numerical benchmarks against standard classical methods. In the Heston setting, the framework recovers option prices across strikes together with the associated implied-volatility smile/skew. Overall, this work provides a complete end-to-end quantum pricing pipeline with explicit resource accounting and theoretical performance guarantees.

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The accurate valuation of financial derivatives plays a pivotal role in the finance industry. Although closed formulas for pricing are available for certain models and option types, exemplified by the European Call and Put options in the Black-Scholes Model, the use of either more complex models or more sophisticated options precludes the existence of such formulas, thereby requiring alternative approaches. The Monte Carlo simulation, an alternative approach effective in nearly all scenarios, has already been challenged by quantum computing techniques that leverage Amplitude Estimation. Despite its theoretical promise, this approach currently faces limitations due to the constraints of hardware in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. In this study, we introduce and analyze a quantum algorithm for pricing European call options across a broad spectrum of asset models. This method transforms a classical approach, which utilizes the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), into a quantum algorithm, leveraging the efficiency of the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT). Furthermore, we compare this novel algorithm with existing quantum algorithms for option pricing.

arXiv:2404.14115•Apr 22, 2024•0 citations

Quantum Machine Learning on Noisy Intermediate Scale Quantum Devices

Muhammad Kashif

The field of machine learning has experienced rapid development over the last decades and has found numerous applications across diverse domains ranging from industrial to personal settings. Quantum computing, on the other hand, is an emerging field offering a fundamentally different computational paradigm that can potentially surpass traditional computational approaches in certain domains.In this thesis, we explore the intersection between these two fields, commonly referred to as quantum machine learning (QML). In particular, we focus on Quantum neural networks (QNNs), which have gained attention in the field of QML due to the unparalleled success of their classical counterparts. However, the limitations of the current quantum computers have led to hybrid approaches combining classical and quantum devices. We, therefore, use hybrid quantum neural networks (HQNNs) to explore the potential advantages of QNNs in various practical applications.First, we explore the design space of HQNNs as there is no standardized methodology for designing quantum layers in HQNNs. Various quantum layer designs with different data encoding techniques are investigated, identifying the optimal set of quantum gates for different encoding strategies.We also investigate the impact of cost function globality and locality on the performance of HQNNs for real-world applications, namely: binary and multi-class classification. We exploit a single parameterized quantum circuit (PQC) structure with both single (local) and all-qubit (global) measurements. Our results show that the global cost function significantly outperforms the local cost function on multi-class classification. In contrast, both global and local cost functions have comparable performance on binary classification problems.Moreover, we propose a framework for analyzing the impact of various components of HQNNs with respect to each other on multi-class classification tasks, specifically focusing on the data encoding and quantum layers (expressibility and entanglement between qubits). Two ansatz structures, entangled and unentangled, are used to investigate the existence of the barren plateau (BP) in HQNNs. We further evaluate the impact of entanglement on trainability and provide recommendations for different constraint scenarios. The results show that the overall expressibility of the quantum layers impacts the presence of the BP phenomenon and that entanglement plays a role in the training landscapes of HQNNs, depending on the data encoding technique. Finally, we propose a new architecture for quantum neural networks (QNNs) called residual quantum neural networks (ResQNets), inspired by the classical residual neural networks (ResNets), to address the issue of BP in QNNs. ResQNets split the conventional QNN architecture into multiple quantum nodes (QNs), each with its own PQC, allowing residual connections between QNs. The results show that incorporating residual connections results in improved training performance, making ResQNets a promising solution for overcoming the problem of BP in QNNs.

•Jul 22, 2024•0 citations

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Durga Meena Rajendran, K. Maharajan

This research work introduces a novel quantum computing approach to stock price forecasting that leverages the power of quantum algorithms for enhanced predictive accuracy and risk management. This comprehensive framework that integrates Quantum Neural Networks (QNN), Quantum Support Vector Machines (QSVM), and Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) to create a robust prediction system capable of navigating complex market dynamics. This approach goes beyond traditional quantum machine learning by incorporating specialized components for stop loss optimization and false breakout detection-critical elements for practical trading systems that are often overlooked in theoretical models. Experimental results across multiple market sectors during the 2018-2022 period demonstrates that this quantum-based framework achieves a 23.6% improvement in directional accuracy and a 31.4% enhancement in risk-adjusted returns compared to classical machine learning benchmarks. The model exhibits particular strength during high volatility periods, where quantum superposition and entanglement properties efficiently capture complex market patterns that elude classical algorithms. This research bridges the gap between theoretical quantum computing advantages and practical financial applications, offering significant implications for the future of algorithmic trading as quantum hardware continues to advance.

Asian Conference on Innovation in Technology (ASIANCON)•Aug 22, 2025•0 citations

Quantum Algorithm for Local-Volatility Option Pricing via the Kolmogorov Equation

Nikita Guseynov, Mikel Sanz, Ángel Rodríguez-Rozas +2 more

The solution of option-pricing problems may turn out to be computationally demanding due to non-linear and path-dependent payoffs, the high dimensionality arising from multiple underlying assets, and sophisticated models of price dynamics. In this context, quantum computing has been proposed as a means to address these challenges efficiently. Prevailing approaches either simulate the stochastic differential equations governing the forward dynamics of underlying asset prices or directly solve the backward pricing partial differential equation. Here, we present an end-to-end quantum algorithmic framework that solves the Kolmogorov forward (Fokker-Planck) partial differential equation for local-volatility models by mapping it to a Hamiltonian-simulation problem via the Schrödingerisation technique. The algorithm specifies how to prepare the initial quantum state, perform Hamiltonian simulation, and how to efficiently recover the option price via a swap test. In particular, the efficiency of the final solution recovery is an important advantage of solving the forward versus the backward partial differential equation. Thus, our end-to-end framework offers a potential route toward quantum advantage for challenging option-pricing tasks. In particular, we obtain a polynomial advantage in grid size for the discretization of a single dimension. Nevertheless, the true power of our methodology lies in pricing high-dimensional systems, such as baskets of options, because the quantum framework admits an exponential speedup with respect to dimension, overcoming the classical curse of dimensionality.

quant-pharXiv:2511.04942•Nov 10, 2025•0 citations
In a global derivatives market with notional values in the hundreds of trillions of dollars, the accuracy and efficiency of pricing models are of fundamental importance, with direct implications for risk management, capital allocation, and regulatory compliance. In this work, we employ the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) framework not as an end in itself, but as a controlled benchmark environment in which to rigorously assess the capabilities of quantum machine learning methods.
We propose a fully quantum approach to option pricing based on Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), and, to the best of our knowledge, present one of the first implementations of such a methodology on currently available quantum hardware. Specifically, we investigate whether QNNs, by exploiting the geometric structure of Hilbert space, can effectively approximate option pricing functions.
Our implementation utilizes a compact 2-qubit QNN architecture evaluated across multiple state-of-the-art quantum processors, including IBM Fez, IQM Garnet, IonQ Forte, and Rigetti Ankaa-3. This cross-platform study reveals distinct hardware-dependent performance characteristics while demonstrating that accurate pricing approximations can be achieved consistently across different devices despite the constraints of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware.
The results provide empirical evidence that QNN-based approaches constitute a viable framework for derivative pricing. While the analysis is conducted within the BSM setting, the broader significance lies in the potential extension of these methods to more realistic and computationally demanding models, including local volatility, stochastic volatility, and interest rate frameworks commonly used in practice.
Options are financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the value of an underlying asset. These underlying assets are typically stocks, interest rates, or exchange rates, but can also include commodities such as energy or agricultural products. Options serve diverse purposes, including hedging against price volatility and speculating on market movements. Additionally, they play a critical role in assessing certain positions on the balance sheets of insurance companies, particularly in the context of solvency capital requirement calculations. As an option’s payoff lies in the future and is stochastic in nature, finding a fair price today is a non-trivial task. The focus of this work is finding quantum algorithms for calculating these prices and compare them to algorithms designed for classical computers. This work follows two different directions on how to improve on classical methods for option pricing. The first direction is improving on Monte-Carlo (MC) methods and the second one is adapting Fourier based pricing algorithms. The Amplitude Estimation (AE) algorithm promises a quadratic speedup compared to classical MC. This fact makes this algorithm an interesting candidate for improvements by quantum algorithms. It was shown in the literature, that simple options with very crude discretization of the underlying stochastic models, can be implemented on a quantum device and evaluated with AE. One big challenge is the efficient implementation of the option’s payoff profile. To solve this problem colleagues and I have introduced a multi-objective genetic algorithm to automatically find well performing and efficient circuits to implement the payoff of non-path-dependent European options on one or more underlyings. Another strategy for pricing options is based on the fact, that in many models the characteristic function of the underlying is numerically more tractable than its distribution function. There are methods that make use of this fact and the performance of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to efficiently calculate prices for European call options for many strikes in one go. The quantum version of the FFT, the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT), is in some sense, even faster than its classical counterpart. We have adapted the existing classical method to make use of QFT, to benefit from its performance. Finally, the different strategies are benchmarked and compared regarding their accuracy, their potential for scaling and their adaptability to different styles of derivatives and models. The result of this comparison are requirements on the quantum hardware for the methods to be viable as well as use cases where each method has its benefits over the others.
Multi-asset option pricing under local- and stochastic-volatility models leads naturally to high-dimensional parabolic PDEs. We develop an end-to-end quantum PDE framework for European option pricing under local-volatility Black--Scholes and Heston models. The framework takes classical contract and model data as input and returns classical estimates of selected option values. We solve the pricing PDEs after finite-difference discretization on spatial grids. For N=2nN=2^nN=2n grid points per spatial direction and ddd assets, the end-to-end gate complexity for single-point recovery, counted in elementary CNOT gates and one-qubit Pauli-axis rotations, has leading grid-size dependence O~(d2N2+d/2)\widetilde{O}(d^2 N^{2+d/2})O(d2N2+d/2) for local-volatility Black--Scholes and O~(d2Nd+2)\widetilde{O}(d^2 N^{d+2})O(d2Nd+2) for Heston. Relative to grid-based finite-difference baselines, these scalings correspond to polynomial improvement factors Nd/2N^{d/2}Nd/2 and NdN^dNd, respectively. These estimates translate to Clifford+T resources via standard compilation. We complement the complexity analysis with numerical benchmarks against standard classical methods. In the Heston setting, the framework recovers option prices across strikes together with the associated implied-volatility smile/skew. Overall, this work provides a complete end-to-end quantum pricing pipeline with explicit resource accounting and theoretical performance guarantees.
The accurate valuation of financial derivatives plays a pivotal role in the finance industry. Although closed formulas for pricing are available for certain models and option types, exemplified by the European Call and Put options in the Black-Scholes Model, the use of either more complex models or more sophisticated options precludes the existence of such formulas, thereby requiring alternative approaches. The Monte Carlo simulation, an alternative approach effective in nearly all scenarios, has already been challenged by quantum computing techniques that leverage Amplitude Estimation. Despite its theoretical promise, this approach currently faces limitations due to the constraints of hardware in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. In this study, we introduce and analyze a quantum algorithm for pricing European call options across a broad spectrum of asset models. This method transforms a classical approach, which utilizes the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), into a quantum algorithm, leveraging the efficiency of the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT). Furthermore, we compare this novel algorithm with existing quantum algorithms for option pricing.
The field of machine learning has experienced rapid development over the last decades and has found numerous applications across diverse domains ranging from industrial to personal settings. Quantum computing, on the other hand, is an emerging field offering a fundamentally different computational paradigm that can potentially surpass traditional computational approaches in certain domains.In this thesis, we explore the intersection between these two fields, commonly referred to as quantum machine learning (QML). In particular, we focus on Quantum neural networks (QNNs), which have gained attention in the field of QML due to the unparalleled success of their classical counterparts. However, the limitations of the current quantum computers have led to hybrid approaches combining classical and quantum devices. We, therefore, use hybrid quantum neural networks (HQNNs) to explore the potential advantages of QNNs in various practical applications.First, we explore the design space of HQNNs as there is no standardized methodology for designing quantum layers in HQNNs. Various quantum layer designs with different data encoding techniques are investigated, identifying the optimal set of quantum gates for different encoding strategies.We also investigate the impact of cost function globality and locality on the performance of HQNNs for real-world applications, namely: binary and multi-class classification. We exploit a single parameterized quantum circuit (PQC) structure with both single (local) and all-qubit (global) measurements. Our results show that the global cost function significantly outperforms the local cost function on multi-class classification. In contrast, both global and local cost functions have comparable performance on binary classification problems.Moreover, we propose a framework for analyzing the impact of various components of HQNNs with respect to each other on multi-class classification tasks, specifically focusing on the data encoding and quantum layers (expressibility and entanglement between qubits). Two ansatz structures, entangled and unentangled, are used to investigate the existence of the barren plateau (BP) in HQNNs. We further evaluate the impact of entanglement on trainability and provide recommendations for different constraint scenarios. The results show that the overall expressibility of the quantum layers impacts the presence of the BP phenomenon and that entanglement plays a role in the training landscapes of HQNNs, depending on the data encoding technique. Finally, we propose a new architecture for quantum neural networks (QNNs) called residual quantum neural networks (ResQNets), inspired by the classical residual neural networks (ResNets), to address the issue of BP in QNNs. ResQNets split the conventional QNN architecture into multiple quantum nodes (QNs), each with its own PQC, allowing residual connections between QNs. The results show that incorporating residual connections results in improved training performance, making ResQNets a promising solution for overcoming the problem of BP in QNNs.
This research work introduces a novel quantum computing approach to stock price forecasting that leverages the power of quantum algorithms for enhanced predictive accuracy and risk management. This comprehensive framework that integrates Quantum Neural Networks (QNN), Quantum Support Vector Machines (QSVM), and Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) to create a robust prediction system capable of navigating complex market dynamics. This approach goes beyond traditional quantum machine learning by incorporating specialized components for stop loss optimization and false breakout detection-critical elements for practical trading systems that are often overlooked in theoretical models. Experimental results across multiple market sectors during the 2018-2022 period demonstrates that this quantum-based framework achieves a 23.6% improvement in directional accuracy and a 31.4% enhancement in risk-adjusted returns compared to classical machine learning benchmarks. The model exhibits particular strength during high volatility periods, where quantum superposition and entanglement properties efficiently capture complex market patterns that elude classical algorithms. This research bridges the gap between theoretical quantum computing advantages and practical financial applications, offering significant implications for the future of algorithmic trading as quantum hardware continues to advance.
The solution of option-pricing problems may turn out to be computationally demanding due to non-linear and path-dependent payoffs, the high dimensionality arising from multiple underlying assets, and sophisticated models of price dynamics. In this context, quantum computing has been proposed as a means to address these challenges efficiently. Prevailing approaches either simulate the stochastic differential equations governing the forward dynamics of underlying asset prices or directly solve the backward pricing partial differential equation. Here, we present an end-to-end quantum algorithmic framework that solves the Kolmogorov forward (Fokker-Planck) partial differential equation for local-volatility models by mapping it to a Hamiltonian-simulation problem via the Schrödingerisation technique. The algorithm specifies how to prepare the initial quantum state, perform Hamiltonian simulation, and how to efficiently recover the option price via a swap test. In particular, the efficiency of the final solution recovery is an important advantage of solving the forward versus the backward partial differential equation. Thus, our end-to-end framework offers a potential route toward quantum advantage for challenging option-pricing tasks. In particular, we obtain a polynomial advantage in grid size for the discretization of a single dimension. Nevertheless, the true power of our methodology lies in pricing high-dimensional systems, such as baskets of options, because the quantum framework admits an exponential speedup with respect to dimension, overcoming the classical curse of dimensionality.