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arXiv:2512.02928 · npj Quantum Information

Time-series forecasting with multiphoton quantum states and integrated photonics

Rosario Di Bartolo, Simone Piacentini, Francesco Ceccarelli, Giacomo Corrielli, Roberto Osellame, Valeria Cimini, Fabio Sciarrino

quant-phSubmitted Dec 2, 2025• Announced Dec 3, 2025• 2 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Quantum machine learning algorithms have very recently attracted significant attention in photonic platforms. In particular, reconfigurable integrated photonic circuits offer a promising route, thanks to the possibility of implementing adaptive feedback loops, which is an essential ingredient for achieving the necessary nonlinear behavior characteristic of neural networks. Here, we implement a quantum reservoir computing protocol in which information is processed through a reconfigurable linear optical integrated photonic circuit and measured using single-photon detectors. We exploit a multiphoton-based setup for time-series forecasting tasks in a variety of scenarios, where the input signal is encoded in one of the circuit's optical phases, thus modulating the quantum reservoir state. The resulting output probabilities are used to set the feedback phases and, at the end of the computation, are fed to a classical digital layer trained via linear regression to perform predictions. We then focus on the investigation of the role of input photon indistinguishability in the reservoir's capabilities of predicting time-series. We experimentally demonstrate that two-photon indistinguishable input states lead to significantly better performance compared to distinguishable ones. This enhancement arises from the quantum correlations present in indistinguishable states, which enable the system to approximate higher-order nonlinear functions when using comparable physical resources, highlighting the importance of quantum interference and indistinguishability as a resource in photonic quantum reservoir computing.

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Quantum machine learning algorithms have very recently attracted significant attention in photonic platforms. In particular, reconfigurable integrated photonic circuits offer a promising route, thanks to the possibility of implementing adaptive feedback loops, which is an essential ingredient for achieving the necessary nonlinear behavior characteristic of neural networks. Here, we implement a quantum reservoir computing protocol in which information is processed through a reconfigurable linear optical integrated photonic circuit and measured using single-photon detectors. We exploit a multiphoton-based setup for time-series forecasting tasks in a variety of scenarios, where the input signal is encoded in one of the circuit's optical phases, thus modulating the quantum reservoir state. The resulting output probabilities are used to set the feedback phases and, at the end of the computation, are fed to a classical digital layer trained via linear regression to perform predictions. We then focus on the investigation of the role of input photon indistinguishability in the reservoir's capabilities of predicting time-series. We experimentally demonstrate that two-photon indistinguishable input states lead to significantly better performance compared to distinguishable ones. This enhancement arises from the quantum correlations present in indistinguishable states, which enable the system to approximate higher-order nonlinear functions when using comparable physical resources, highlighting the importance of quantum interference and indistinguishability as a resource in photonic quantum reservoir computing.
Feedback-driven quantum reservoir computing has so far been studied primarily in gate-based architectures, motivating alternative scalable, hardware-friendly physical platforms. Here we investigate a linear-optical quantum reservoir architecture for time-series processing based on multiphoton interference in a reconfigurable interferometer network equipped with threshold detectors and measurement-conditioned feedback. The reservoir state is constructed from coarse-grained coincidence features, and the feedback updates only a structured, budgeted subset of programmable phases, enabling recurrence without training internal weights. By sweeping the feedback strength, we identify three dynamical regimes and find that memory performance peaks near the stability boundary. We quantify temporal processing via linear memory capacity and validate nonlinear forecasting on benchmarks, namely Mackey-Glass series, NARMA−n-n−n and non-integrable Ising dynamics. The proposed architecture is compatible with current photonic technology and lowers the experimental barrier to feedback-driven QRC for time-series analysis with competitive accuracy.
[eng] Quantum photonic technologies have achieved considerable success across a range of disciplines, including quantum computing, quantum communications, and quantum metrology. Conversely, in the current era of information, the ability to discern patterns within voluminous data sets is highly sought after, with Machine Learning (ML) having emerged as a powerful solution to address this challenge. The processing speed of photonic hardware, in conjunction with the potential for computation enhancement resulting from quantum properties, positions quantum photonics as a promising platform for the implementation of ML algorithms. In this thesis, we focus on reservoir computing (RC) as an ML framework that is suitable for time series processing. It provides fast and energy-efficient training in comparison to more conventional methods and is also appropriate for physical implementations. In this thesis, we explore the possibilities brought by quantum photonic setups in the field of quantum RC. Specifically, we propose and study different platform designs that are able to perform different temporal benchmark tasks by providing tunable memory and nonlinearity. Furthermore, we leverage the capabilities of state-of-the-art quantum photonic hardware and identify novel strategies to address key challenges in RC in quantum substrates, as well as expand the potential of quantum machine learning. Firstly, an approach is provided to overcome some of the limitations of quantum projective measurements, thereby enabling information processing in real time. This is achieved by generating a physical ensemble of quantum reservoirs that recirculate through an optical fiber inside a feedback loop. We investigate the detrimental effects of sampling noise due to finite ensembles and provide a strategy to mitigate them. Secondly, the consequences of increasing quantum squeezing in the dynamics of such setups were studied, and it was found that it monotonically improves the noise robustness of the platforms in realistic scenarios. Finally, we propose a novel design in which photonic cluster states, a specific kind of highly entangled quantum network, are used as resources to implement quantum RC. In this configuration, external input information is encoded into the quantum network via quantum teleportation by engineering the measurement basis of the protocol. Furthermore, the platform has the capacity to implement global quantum gates through local operations (single-mode measurements), thus establishing the foundation for distributed quantum ML.
Quantum reservoir computing (QRC) exploits the information-processing capabilities of quantum systems to tackle time-series forecasting tasks, which is expected to be superior to their classical counterparts. By far, many QRC schemes have been theoretically proposed. However, most of these schemes involve long-time evolution of quantum systems or networks with quantum gates. This poses a challenge for practical implementation of these schemes, as precise manipulation of quantum systems is crucial, and this level of control is currently hard to achieve with the existing state of quantum technology. Here we propose a different QRC scheme, which is friendly to experimental realization. It implements the quantum version of nonlinear vector autoregression, extracting linear and nonlinear features of quantum data by measurements. Thus, the evolution of complex networks of quantum gates can be avoided. Compared to other QRC schemes, our proposal also achieves an advance by effectively reducing the necessary training data for reliable predictions in time-series forecasting tasks. Furthermore, we experimentally verify our proposal by performing the forecasting tasks, and the observation matches well with the theoretical ones. Our work opens up a different way for complex tasks to be solved by using QRC, which can herald the next generation of QRC.
Motivated by the perspective of advanced time-series prediction and exploitation of Quantum Reservoir Computing (QRC), we explored the design and implementation of a Hybrid Photonic-Quantum Reservoir Computing (HPQRC) paradigm. It brings together the high-speed parallelism of photonic systems with the quantum reservoir's capacity of modeling complex, nonlinear dynamics, and hence acts as a powerful tool for performing real-time prediction in resource resource-constrained environment with low latency. We have engineered a solution using this architecture to address issues like computational bottlenecks, energy inefficiency, and sensitivity to noise that are common in existing reservoir computing models. Our simulation results show that HPQRC attains much higher accuracy with lower computational time than both classical and quantum-only models. This model is robust when environments are noisy and scales well across large datasets, and therefore is suitable for application on diverse problems such as financial forecasting, industrial automation, and smart sensor networks. Our results substantiate that HPQRC performs significantly faster than traditional architectures and could be a viable and highly scalable platform for actual edge computing systems. Overall, HPQRC demonstrates significant advancements in time series modeling capabilities. In combination with enhanced predictive accuracy with reduced computational requirements, HPQRC establishes itself as an effective analytical tool for complex dynamic systems that require both precision and processing efficiency.
We investigate quantum reservoir computing (QRC) using a hybrid qubit-boson system described by the Jaynes-Cummings (JC) Hamiltonian and its dispersive limit (DJC). These models provide high-dimensional Hilbert spaces and intrinsic nonlinear dynamics, making them powerful substrates for temporal information processing. We systematically benchmark both reservoirs through linear and nonlinear memory tasks, demonstrating that they exhibit an unusual superior nonlinear over linear memory capacity. We further test their predictive performance on the Mackey-Glass time series, a widely used benchmark for chaotic dynamics, and show comparable forecasting ability. We also investigate how memory and prediction accuracy vary with reservoir parameters and show the role of higher-order bosonic observables and time multiplexing in enhancing expressivity, even in minimal spin-boson configurations. Our results establish JC- and DJC-based reservoirs as versatile platforms for time-series processing and as elementary units that overcome the setting of equivalent qubit pairs and offer pathways toward tunable, high-performance quantum machine learning architectures.
Integrated photonic microprocessors provide high-bandwidth, massively parallel linear computation, but realizing nonlinear feature maps and temporal memory remain key challenges for machine learning. Conventional approaches rely on active tuning and additional nonlinear elements, increasing architectural complexity and power overhead. Here we demonstrate an integrated photonic quantum reservoir computer that achieves nonlinear mapping, fading memory, and task versatility without active tuning of the reservoir core. The same chip supports accurate static classification, dynamic prediction, and stable autonomous forecasting, establishing broad utility across both classification and temporal inference tasks. Competitive performance is retained in the zero-bias state, where all on-chip phase shifters are unpowered, eliminating active control and reducing computational power consumption to zero. This passive operation highlights a scalable route to multifunctional machine-learning hardware, where large-scale photonic quantum processors can be repurposed as reservoirs without reconfiguring their internal optical networks. By combining quantum-state encoding, multimode interferometric mixing, and photon-statistical readout, this architecture provides a physically grounded paradigm for low-power, large-scale quantum reservoir computing.