The efficient and effective construction of portfolios that adhere to real-world constraints is a challenging optimization task in finance. We investigate a concrete representation of the problem with a focus on design proposals of an Exchange Traded Fund. We evaluate the sampling-based CVaR Variational Quantum Algorithm (VQA), combined with a local-search post-processing, for solving problem instances that beyond a certain size become classically hard. We also propose a problem formulation that is suited for sampling-based VQA. Our utility-scale experiments on IBM Heron processors involve 109 qubits and up to 4200 gates, achieving a relative solution error of 0.49%. Results indicate that a combined quantum-classical workflow achieves better accuracy compared to purely classical local search, and that hard-to-simulate quantum circuits may lead to better convergence than simpler circuits. Our work paves the path to further explore portfolio construction with quantum computers.
The efficient and effective construction of portfolios that adhere to real-world constraints is a challenging optimization task in finance. We investigate a concrete representation of the problem with a focus on design proposals of an Exchange Traded Fund. We evaluate the sampling-based CVaR Variational Quantum Algorithm (VQA), combined with a local-search post-processing, for solving problem instances that beyond a certain size become classically hard. We also propose a problem formulation that is suited for sampling-based VQA. Our utility-scale experiments on IBM Heron processors involve 109 qubits and up to 4200 gates, achieving a relative solution error of 0.49%. Results indicate that a combined quantum-classical workflow achieves better accuracy compared to purely classical local search, and that hard-to-simulate quantum circuits may lead to better convergence than simpler circuits. Our work paves the path to further explore portfolio construction with quantum computers.
Variational quantum algorithms are increasingly explored for optimization problems at scales relevant to near-term quantum devices. Their practical performance depends strongly on design choices such as the sampling objective, classical optimizer, and ansatz layout before and after hardware transpilation. We study these factors for dynamic portfolio optimization, a multi-period financial problem balancing return, risk, transaction costs, cash-interest effects, and constraints. Using a sampling-based VQA framework on a 150-qubit dynamic portfolio instance, we evaluate several components of the optimization workflow. We propose a specific adaptive CVaR schedule that gradually tightens the sampled tail used for optimization, together with a two-stage optimizer combining global exploration with Particle Swarm Optimization and local refinement with the Nakanishi-Fujii-Todo optimizer. We also study ansatz depth and sequential growth strategies. Finally, we introduce two hardware-aware ansatz-layout modifications: a data-guided colored layout that assigns correlated variables to qubits connected by entangling gates, and a heavy-hex-native deep-chain layout designed to increase native two-qubit interaction depth without additional routing overhead after transpilation. Simulator studies select CVaR, optimizer, and depth configurations, while the ansatz comparison is performed on the ibm_quebec QPU. The results show that sampling strategy, optimizer scheduling, and hardware-aware layout design materially affect performance. In the reported QPU layout comparison, the proposed heavy-hex-native deep-chain layout achieves the best final objective value and CVaR-tail performance among the tested layouts. Although we do not observe quantum advantage over a state-of-the-art exact classical solver, our results provide practical guidance for improving VQA performance on near-term hardware.
In finance, portfolio optimization aims at finding optimal investments maximizing a trade-off between return and risks, given some constraints. Classical formulations of this quadratic optimization problem have exact or heuristic solutions, but the complexity scales up as the market dimension increases. Recently, researchers are evaluating the possibility of facing the complexity scaling issue by employing quantum computing. In this paper, the problem is solved using the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE), which in principle is very efficient. The main outcome of this work consists of the definition of the best hyperparameters to set, in order to perform Portfolio Optimization by VQE on real quantum computers. In particular, a quite general formulation of the constrained quadratic problem is considered, which is translated into Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization by the binary encoding of variables and by including constraints in the objective function. This is converted into a set of quantum operators (Ising Hamiltonian), whose minimum eigenvalue is found by VQE and corresponds to the optimal solution. In this work, different hyperparameters of the procedure are analyzed, including different ansatzes and optimization methods by means of experiments on both simulators and real quantum computers. Experiments show that there is a strong dependence of solutions quality on the sufficiently sized quantum computer and correct hyperparameters, and with the best choices, the quantum algorithm run on real quantum devices reaches solutions very close to the exact one, with a strong convergence rate towards the classical solution, even without error-mitigation techniques. Moreover, results obtained on different real quantum devices, for a small-sized example, show the relation between the quality of the solution and the dimension of the quantum processor. Evidences allow concluding which are the best ways to solve real Portfolio Optimization problems by VQE on quantum devices, and confirm the possibility to solve them with higher efficiency, with respect to existing methods, as soon as the size of quantum hardware will be sufficiently high.
We present a scalable, hardware-aware methodology for extending the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) to large, realistic Dynamic Portfolio Optimization (DPO) problems. Building on the scaling strategy from our previous work, where we tailored a VQE workflow to both the DPO formulation and the target QPU, we now put forward two significant advances. The first is the implementation of the Ising Sample-based Quantum Configuration Recovery (ISQR) routine, which improves solution quality in Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization problems. The second is the use of the VQE Constrained method to decompose the optimization task, enabling us to handle DPO instances with more variables than the available qubits on current hardware. These advances, which are broadly applicable to other optimization problems, allow us to address a portfolio with a size relevant to the financial industry, consisting of up to 38 assets and covering the full Spanish stock index (IBEX 35). Our results, obtained on a real Quantum Processing Unit (IBM Fez), show that this tailored workflow achieves financial performance on par with classical methods while delivering a broader set of high-quality investment strategies, demonstrating a viable path towards obtaining practical advantage from quantum optimization in real financial applications.
Abstract Recent research on quantum walk-based optimization has shown theoretical potential as an alternative to variational algorithms, avoiding local minima entrapment or barren plateaus by utilizing physically motivated structure rather than unconstrained parameter search. Despite this, the Guided Quantum Walk (GQW) has never been used for portfolio optimization or tested on existing noisy quantum hardware. In this paper we propose a hybrid quantum-classical solver for portfolio optimization that integrates Guided Quantum Walks (GQW) with domain-specific knowledge elicited from real Indian equity data. The core technical contributions are threefold. First, we implement a parameterized GQW circuit in Qiskit (v2.2) with a B\'{e}zier-curve-parameterized hopping rate schedule, mapping the portfolio selection problem directly to the GQW Hilbert space via an Ising Hamiltonian encoding. Second, we introduce a problem-aware warm-start strategy that initializes the energy scale parameters from classical sampling of the feasible portfolio subspace, bypassing the high-energy exploration phase that characterizes naive initialization. Third, we incorporate Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) aggregation into the quantum walk measurement to improve solution space sampling, as well as a hardware-adaptive pipeline that adjusts concentration to per-backend circuit fidelity for IBM Heron devices.\\Our simulation results demonstrate near-optimal approximation ratios exceeding 0.99 for problem sizes up to N=20 on a noiseless setting with CVaR concentration ((α∈{0.1,0.25})), significantly outperforming standard energy expectation values ((α=1.0)). Hardware validation on IBM Heron R2 processors, confirms that parameters optimized on noiseless simulation transfer effectively to real devices without re-optimization, with median approximation ratios above 0.85 across all backends for N=12 drawn from live NIFTY 50 market data. This constitutes the first end-to-end GQW implementation for financial portfolio optimization using IBM quantum hardware, and its application as a scalable quantum solver for real-world financial decision support systems.
The possibility of adopting quantum computing in the field of financial services can bring a new breakthrough in portfolio management since the optimization of this method requires large numbers for the solution that exceed the capabilities of classical computing algorithms. This study focuses on using a hybrid quantum-classical computational method known as the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) in optimizing portfolio selection. The VQE aims at finding the best allocation of the portfolio; the best weights that correspond to minimum risk and maximum return as predicted by the modern portfolio theory. The study assesses the suitability and speed of VQE in solving matters involving portfolio management tasks such as handling vast data and nonlinear constraints which are hard to solve through other optimization methods. Thus, under the theoretical framework of quantum computing, the study seeks to address some of the following challenges: computational time and scalability in portfolio optimization. The VQE algorithm work on different portfolio configurations; their performance in comparison with classical techniques; special attention is paid to the rate of convergence and the achievement of the optimal solution. Based on the results of this work we can conclude that there is a considerable literature on quantum finance and that this field can benefit from utilization of quantum algorithms as a tool to improve decision-making in the financial market. That is why the study proves that quantum optimization techniques, to wit VQE, can provide better solutions when it comes to portfolio management within the sphere of finance.
Solving combinatorial optimization problems using variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) might be a promise application in the NISQ era. However, the limited trainability of VQAs could hinder their scalability to large problem sizes. In this paper, we improve the trainability of variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) by utilizing convex interpolation to solve portfolio optimization. Based on convex interpolation, the location of the ground state can be evaluated by learning the property of a small subset of basis states in the Hilbert space. This enlightens naturally the proposals of the strategies of close-to-solution initialization, regular cost function landscape, and recursive ansatz equilibrium partition. The successfully implementation of a 40-qubit experiment using only 10 superconducting qubits demonstrates the effectiveness of our proposals. Furthermore, the quantum inspiration has also spurred the development of a prototype greedy algorithm. Extensive numerical simulations indicate that the hybridization of VQE and greedy algorithms achieves a mutual complementarity, combining the advantages of both global and local optimization methods. Our proposals can be extended to improve the trainability for solving other large-scale combinatorial optimization problems that are widely used in real applications, paving the way to unleash quantum advantages of NISQ computers in the near future.