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arXiv:2506.22845

Quantum Neural Networks for Wind Energy Forecasting: A Comparative Study of Performance and Scalability with Classical Models

Batuhan Hangun, Onder Eyecioglu, Mehar Ali, Oguz Altun, Korhan Kayisli

Published Jan 1, 2025• 2 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Abstract Quantum Machine Learning (QML) is an emerging field at the intersection of quantum computing and machine learning that aims to enhance classical learning methods by leveraging principles such as superposition and entanglement. However, skepticism remains regarding its practical advantages, particularly due to the limitations of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. This study addresses these concerns through a systematic evaluation of Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), quantum-inspired counterparts of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). We construct and analyze 12 distinct QNN configurations by combining two quantum feature maps with six entanglement strategies for ansatz design. Experiments conducted on a wind energy dataset show that QNNs can achieve competitive or superior performance compared to classical baseline models, with the best-performing configuration (QNN-3) reaching an R 2 score of up to 0.94 when forecasting wind power output using four input features. In addition, we provide a detailed analysis of simulation time across different configurations, highlighting trade-offs between model complexity and computational cost. These findings demonstrate the potential of QNNs as viable models for predictive tasks and contribute to the ongoing evaluation of QML in real-world applications.

DOI
10.21203/rs.3.rs-9475883/v1

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Quantum Machine Learning (QML) is an emerging field at the intersection of quantum computing and machine learning, aiming to enhance classical machine learning methods by leveraging quantum mechanics principles such as entanglement and superposition. However, skepticism persists regarding the practical advantages of QML, mainly due to the current limitations of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. This study addresses these concerns by extensively assessing Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs)-quantum-inspired counterparts of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), demonstrating their effectiveness compared to classical methods. We systematically construct and evaluate twelve distinct QNN configurations, utilizing two unique quantum feature maps combined with six different entanglement strategies for ansatz design. Experiments conducted on a wind energy dataset reveal that QNNs employing the Z\mathbf{Z}Z feature map achieve up to 93%93 \%93% prediction accuracy when forecasting wind power output using only four input parameters. Our findings show that QNNs outperform classical methods in predictive tasks, underscoring the potential of QML in real-world applications.
The use of computational intelligence has become commonplace for accurate wind speed and energy forecasting, however the energy-intensive processes involved in training and tuning stands as a critical issue for the sustainability of AI models. Quantum computing emerges as a key player in addressing this concern, offering a quantum advantage that could potentially accelerate computations or, more significantly, reduce energy consumption. It is a matter of debate if purely quantum machine learning models, as they currently stand, are capable of competing with the classical state of the art on relevant problems. We investigate the efficacy of quantum neural networks (QNNs) for wind speed nowcasting, comparing them to a baseline Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). Utilizing meteorological data from Bahia, Brazil, we develop a QNN tailored for up to six hours ahead wind speed prediction. Our analysis reveals that the QNN demonstrates competitive performance compared to MLP. We evaluate models using RMSE, Pearson’s R, and Factor of 2 metrics, emphasizing QNNs’ promising generalization capabilities and robustness across various wind prediction scenarios. This study is a seminal work on the potential of QNNs in advancing renewable energy forecasting, advocating for further exploration of quantum machine learning in sustainable energy research.
Quantum machine learning (QML) has emerged as a promising interdisciplinary field that integrates principles of quantum computing with machine learning techniques to address complex computational challenges. By leveraging quantum phenomena such as superposition and entanglement, QML aims to enhance learning efficiency, improve model performance, and enable the exploration of high-dimensional feature spaces that are intractable for classical methods. This paper presents a comprehensive review of recent developments in QML, covering fundamental concepts, algorithmic taxonomies, data encoding techniques, implementation challenges, and real-world applications. Key approaches, including quantum support vector machines (QSVM), variational quantum circuits (VQC), and quantum neural networks (QNN), are systematically analyzed. Furthermore, critical challenges, including noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) limitations, barren plateaus, data encoding bottlenecks, and the lack of demonstrated quantum advantage, are discussed in detail. The review also highlights emerging applications in material informatics, energy systems, healthcare, and optimization problems. Finally, future research directions are outlined, emphasizing the need for advancements in quantum hardware, scalable algorithms, hybrid frameworks, and standardized benchmarking. This work aims to provide a structured perspective on the current state of QML and to identify opportunities in deploy it effectively in solve real-world problems.
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This study explores the performance of Quantum Support Vector Classifiers (QSVCs) and Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs) in comparison to classical models for machine learning tasks. By evaluating these models on the Iris and MNIST-PCA datasets, we find that quantum models tend to outperform classical approaches as the problem complexity increases. While QSVCs generally provide more consistent results, QNNs exhibit superior performance in higher-complexity tasks due to their increased quantum load. Additionally, we analyze the impact of hyperparameter tuning, showing that feature maps and ansatz configurations significantly influence model accuracy. We also compare the PennyLane and Qiskit frameworks, concluding that Qiskit provides better optimization and efficiency for our implementation. These findings highlight the potential of Quantum Machine Learning (QML) for complex classification problems and provide insights into model selection and optimization strategies
The rapid advancement of quantum computing hardware and software has ushered in a new era for computational science, promising to tackle problems that are intractable for classical computers. Parallelly, machine learning (ML) has revolutionized data analysis and artificial intelligence. The confluence of these two fields, known as Quantum Machine Learning (QML), aims to harness the principles of quantum mechanics-such as superposition, entanglement, and interference-to enhance and redefine classical machine learning algorithms. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the burgeoning field of QML. We begin by elucidating the fundamental quantum concepts that underpin QML approaches. We then present a detailed taxonomy and analysis of prominent QML algorithms, categorizing them into quantum-enhanced classical models and fully quantum models. Key families of algorithms discussed include Quantum Support Vector Machines (QSVM), Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), and Quantum Generative Adversarial Networks (QGANs). For each, we explain the theoretical quantum advantage, the circuit implementation, and the current limitations. Furthermore, we delve into the critical challenges facing the practical realization of QML, including the pervasive issue of noise in Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices, the problem of barren plateaus in training quantum circuits, and the complexities of efficient data encoding (quantum feature maps). We also present a small-scale experimental simulation of a variational quantum classifier on a standardized dataset, demonstrating its principle and comparing its performance with a classical counterpart. Finally, the paper discusses the future trajectory of QML, highlighting the importance of error mitigation, hybrid quantum-classical architectures, and the development of quantum-specific learning inductive biases. We conclude that while fault-tolerant quantum computers remain on the horizon, QML represents a paradigm shift with the potential to deliver profound computational advantages in the coming decades.