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arXiv:2503.14696 · Physical Review A

Scalability challenges in variational quantum optimization under stochastic noise

Adelina Bärligea, Benedikt Poggel, Jeanette Miriam Lorenz

Published Jul 29, 2025• 7 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

With rapid advances in quantum hardware, a central question is whether quantum devices with or without full error correction can outperform classical computers on practically relevant problems. Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) have gained significant attention as promising candidates in this pursuit, particularly for combinatorial optimization problems. While reports of their challenges and limitations continue to accumulate, many studies remain optimistic based on small-scale, idealized testing setups, leaving doubt about the scalability of VQAs for large-scale problems. We systematically investigate this scaling behavior by analyzing how classical optimizers minimize variational quantum loss functions for random Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization instances in the presence of uncertainty, modeled as effective Gaussian noise. We find that the critical noise threshold for successful optimization decreases rapidly as system size grows. This decline exceeds what can be explained solely by shrinking loss variance, confirming deeper, fundamental limitations in the loss landscapes of VQAs beyond barren plateaus. Translating these thresholds into required measurement shots reveals that achieving sufficient precision in the evaluated loss values quickly becomes impractical, even for moderatelysized problems. Our findings demonstrate serious scalability challenges for VQAs in optimization stemming from mere uncertainty, indicating potential barriers to achieving practical quantum advantage with current hybrid approaches.

DOI
10.1103/rgyh-8xw8

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With rapid advances in quantum hardware, a central question is whether quantum devices with or without full error correction can outperform classical computers on practically relevant problems. Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) have gained significant attention as promising candidates in this pursuit, particularly for combinatorial optimization problems. While reports of their challenges and limitations continue to accumulate, many studies remain optimistic based on small-scale, idealized testing setups, leaving doubt about the scalability of VQAs for large-scale problems. We systematically investigate this scaling behavior by analyzing how classical optimizers minimize variational quantum loss functions for random Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization instances in the presence of uncertainty, modeled as effective Gaussian noise. We find that the critical noise threshold for successful optimization decreases rapidly as system size grows. This decline exceeds what can be explained solely by shrinking loss variance, confirming deeper, fundamental limitations in the loss landscapes of VQAs beyond barren plateaus. Translating these thresholds into required measurement shots reveals that achieving sufficient precision in the evaluated loss values quickly becomes impractical, even for moderatelysized problems. Our findings demonstrate serious scalability challenges for VQAs in optimization stemming from mere uncertainty, indicating potential barriers to achieving practical quantum advantage with current hybrid approaches.
Combinatorial optimization and large-scale data analytics present NP-hard computational challenges, where quantum algorithms promise potential exponential speedups. However, the practical realization of such advantage on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware remains uncertain. This systematic review synthesizes relevant literature to critically evaluate the empirical feasibility and scaling limitations of leading quantum algorithms. The analysis reveals that Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs) face persistent reliability challenges such as inconsistent optimality gaps and systemic failures to produce feasible solutions for constrained problems. The principal barrier to VQA scalability is the Measurement Imprecision Wall, where stochastic noise accumulation drives the required measurement shots to scale exponentially with system size, creating a resource deadlock that undermines quantum advantage for large problem instances. For data-centric algorithms, the exponential speedup of Quantum Linear Systems Problem (QLSP) solvers, such as HHL, is largely theoretical for arbitrary classical data due to the Encoding Bottleneck, which requires O(N) runtime for input state preparation. In contrast, Quantum Kernel Methods (QKM) exhibit superior empirical performance and efficient resource scaling, representing the most promising near-term pathway. Achieving practical quantum advantage therefore depends on noise-aware algorithmic design and effective solutions to the classical data ingestion challenge.
Variational Quantum Algorithms are a major method of harnessing Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum devices to solve classically intractable problems in physics, chemistry, optimization, and machine learning. The current review offers a critical overview of VQAs, with special emphasis on their theoretical backgrounds, algorithmic structures, and application performance within realistic models of noise. Several key variants, such as the Variational Quantum Eigensolver, Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm, and Quantum Neural Networks, are compared in terms of noise robustness, ansatz archi- tecture, and hybrid quantum-classical methods of optimization. Benchmarks in fields such as quantum chemistry, finance modeling, and particles and nuclei physics reveal the poten- tial of VQAs in achieving practical quantum advantage. Fundamentally limiting factors 1such as barren plateaus, optimization overhead, and hardware constraints are considered in addition to mitigation strategies, including adaptive construction of ansatz, informed training in the presence of noise, and quantum error correction using QVECTOR. The paper is concluded with an overview of the scalability and future of VQAs in the direction of transitioning toward fault-tolerant quantum computing.
Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs) are promising methods for solving combinatorial optimization problems on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. However, benchmarking VQAs is difficult due to their stochastic behavior and the lack of standardized performance criteria. This work introduces a general framework for evaluating VQAs applied to Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problems. The framework uses three complementary metrics: feasibility, quality, and reproducibility. It also introduces a quality diagram that visualizes trade-offs between success probability and computational resources. Reproducibility is formalized using Shannon entropy, and a decision rule is defined for selecting algorithms under resource constraints. As a demonstration, the framework is applied to several VQAs using Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) cost functions and different shot counts on a 16-qubit QUBO instance. The results show how the framework supports systematic benchmarking and provides a foundation for adaptive algorithm selection in hybrid quantum-classical workflows.
Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) have established themselves as a central computational paradigm in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. By coupling parameterized quantum circuits (PQCs) with classical optimization, they operate effectively under strict hardware limitations. However, as quantum architectures transition toward early fault-tolerant (EFT) and ultimate fault-tolerant (FT) regimes, the foundational principles and long-term viability of VQAs require systematic reassessment. This review offers an insightful analysis of VQAs and their progression toward the fault-tolerant regime. We deconstruct the core algorithmic framework by examining ansatz design and classical optimization strategies, including cost function formulation, gradient computation, and optimizer selection. Concurrently, we evaluate critical training bottlenecks, notably barren plateaus (BPs), alongside established mitigation strategies. The discussion then explores the EFT phase, detailing how the integration of quantum error mitigation and partial error correction can sustain algorithmic performance. Addressing the FT phase, we analyze the inherent challenges confronting current hybrid VQA models. Furthermore, we synthesize recent VQA applications across diverse domains, including many-body physics, quantum chemistry, machine learning, and mathematical optimization. Ultimately, this review outlines a theoretical roadmap for adapting quantum algorithms to future hardware generations, elucidating how variational principles can be systematically refined to maintain their relevance and efficiency within an error-corrected computational environment.
While quantum computers are a very promising tool for the far future, in their current state of the art they remain limited both in size and quality. This has given rise to hybrid quantum-classical algorithms, where the quantum device performs only a small but vital part of the overall computation. Among these, variational quantum algorithms (VQAs), which combine a classical optimization procedure with quantum evaluation of a cost function, have emerged as particularly promising. However, barren plateaus and ill-conditioned optimization landscapes remain among the primary obstacles faced by VQAs, often leading to unstable convergence and high sensitivity to initialization. Motivated by this challenge, we investigate whether a purely classical remedy, standard L2 squared-norm regularization, can systematically stabilize hybrid quantum-classical optimization. Specifically, we augment the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) objective with a quadratic penalty proportional to the squared norm of the parameters, without modifying the quantum circuit or measurement process. Across all tested Hamiltonians, H2, LiH, and the Random Field Ising Model (RFIM), we observe improved performance over a broad window of the regularization strength. Our large-scale numerical results demonstrate that classical regularization provides a robust, system-independent mechanism for mitigating VQE instability, enhancing the reliability and reproducibility of variational quantum optimization without altering the underlying quantum circuit.
Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) are a leading framework for realizing quantum advantages in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era, with applications spanning discrete combinatorial problems and continuous optimization. While the topologies of parameterized quantum circuits (ansatzes) fundamentally govern both expressibility and trainability in continuous landscapes, existing reviews predominantly focus on static algorithmic classifications or discrete settings, leaving the structural evolution and practical limitations of ansatz architectures insufficiently explored. To address this gap, this review presents a systematic analysis of variational ansatz architectures, tracing their progression from static, pre-defined topologies to adaptive growth mechanisms. Beyond traditional gradient-driven and architecture-search paradigms, we evaluate supplementary strategies such as layerwise training and noise-adaptive construction, revealing inherent vulnerabilities such as local minima entrapment and the compilation overhead induced by calibration drift. The mathematical foundations of VQAs are outlined, and representative fixed ansatz architectures, including hardware-efficient, physics-inspired, and problem-specific designs, are characterized within continuous-domain mappings. Intrinsic limitations arising from barren plateaus (BPs) and noise-induced barren plateaus (NIBPs) are analyzed, revealing the fundamental coupling between circuit depth, parameter scaling, and trainability degradation. Furthermore, adaptive construction strategies and recent advances in automated variational quantum architecture search (VQAS) are examined. Through the synthesis of intrinsic limitations (BPs, NIBPs, and hardware-algorithm coupling) and the evaluation of standardized benchmarking protocols, this review rigorously assesses the resource trade-offs of current VQA frameworks. Ultimately, next-generation ansatz design will adopt hardware–software co-design principles grounded in physical constraints, enabling scalable and noise-resilient quantum optimization.