Quantum devices capable of breaking the public-key cryptosystems that Bitcoin relies on to secure its transactions are expected with reasonable probability within a decade. Quantum attacks would put at risk the entire Bitcoin network, which has an estimated value of around 500 billion USD. To prevent this threat, a proactive approach is critical. The only known way to prevent any such attack is to upgrade the currently used public-key cryptosystems, namely ECDSA, with so-called post-quantum cryptosystems which have no known vulnerabilities to quantum attacks. In this paper, we analyse the technical cost of such an upgrade. We calculate a non-tight lower bound on the cumulative downtime required for the above transition to be 1827.96 hours, or 76.16 days. We also demonstrate that the transition needs to be fully completed before the availability of ECDSA-256 breaking quantum devices, in order to ensure Bitcoin's ongoing security. The conclusion is that the Bitcoin upgrade to quantum-safe protocols needs to be started as soon as possible in order to guarantee its ongoing operations.
Quantum devices capable of breaking the public-key cryptosystems that Bitcoin relies on to secure its transactions are expected with reasonable probability within a decade. Quantum attacks would put at risk the entire Bitcoin network, which has an estimated value of around 500 billion USD. To prevent this threat, a proactive approach is critical. The only known way to prevent any such attack is to upgrade the currently used public-key cryptosystems, namely ECDSA, with so-called post-quantum cryptosystems which have no known vulnerabilities to quantum attacks. In this paper, we analyse the technical cost of such an upgrade. We calculate a non-tight lower bound on the cumulative downtime required for the above transition to be 1827.96 hours, or 76.16 days. We also demonstrate that the transition needs to be fully completed before the availability of ECDSA-256 breaking quantum devices, in order to ensure Bitcoin's ongoing security. The conclusion is that the Bitcoin upgrade to quantum-safe protocols needs to be started as soon as possible in order to guarantee its ongoing operations.
The key cryptographic protocols used to secure the internet and financial transactions of today are all susceptible to attack by the development of a sufficiently large quantum computer. One particular area at risk is cryptocurrencies, a market currently worth over 100 billion USD. We investigate the risk posed to Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies, by attacks using quantum computers. We find that the proof-of-work used by Bitcoin is relatively resistant to substantial speedup by quantum computers in the next 10 years, mainly because specialized ASIC miners are extremely fast compared to the estimated clock speed of near-term quantum computers. On the other hand, the elliptic curve signature scheme used by Bitcoin is much more at risk, and could be completely broken by a quantum computer as early as 2027, by the most optimistic estimates. We analyze an alternative proof-of-work called Momentum, based on finding collisions in a hash function, that is even more resistant to speedup by a quantum computer. We also review the available post-quantum signature schemes to see which one would best meet the security and efficiency requirements of blockchain applications.
Quantum computers are expected to have a dramatic impact on numerous fields due to their anticipated ability to solve classes of mathematical problems much more efficiently than their classical counterparts. This particularly applies to domains involving integer factorization and discrete logarithms, such as public key cryptography. In this paper, we consider the threats a quantum-capable adversary could impose on Bitcoin, which currently uses the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) to sign transactions. We then propose a simple but slow commit-delay-reveal protocol, which allows users to securely move their funds from old (non-quantum-resistant) outputs to those adhering to a quantum-resistant digital signature scheme. The transition protocol functions even if ECDSA has already been compromised. While our scheme requires modifications to the Bitcoin protocol, these can be implemented as a soft fork.
This paper examines the growing threat that quantum computing presents to blockchain security. Core blockchain cryptographic frameworks, specifically the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm and the Secure Hash Algorithm 256, are vulnerable to quantum algorithms. Both the Shor algorithm and the Grover algorithm are capable of breaking the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm, enabling attackers to calculate private keys from public keys, while the Grover algorithm can also compromise hash-based systems that depend on brute-force methods, such as Proof-of-Work. On-chain analysis indicates that billions of dollars’ worth of crypto-assets are held in addresses susceptible to these quantum attacks. A proposed countermeasure is migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography, which incorporates quantum-resistant algorithms, such as CRYSTALS-Dilithium and Falcon. However, this migration introduces a trilemma among network security, decentralization, and performance. Post-Quantum Cryptography algorithms significantly increase transaction sizes and computational costs, which pose economic and technical challenges for large blockchain networks. The paper further discusses how the timeline for quantum advancements will be shaped by geopolitical competition, and how the catch-the-crop, decrypt-later strategy puts current data at risk from future quantum decryption. It emphasizes that active migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography is urgent, calling on stakeholders to prioritize system audits, transition to cryptographically flexible infrastructures, promote research into quantum-resistant solutions, and establish governance frameworks that enable prompt and decentralized upgrades.
Cryptocurrency are decentralized digital money systems built on blockchain technology. The transactions are secured in these system using digital signatures based on public-key cryptography. Public-key cryptographic algorithms used for digital signatures, such as ECDSA, are vulnerable to quantum attacks. With over 2 trillion dollars market capitalization, the cryptocurrency industry will be at high risk in the Quantum Era. This paper evaluates the security of today's cryptocurrency blockchains under quantum attacks. It also reviews some of the proposed solutions to protect blockchains in the Quantum Era. Moreover, it presents a number of post-quantum digital signature schemes used to build quantum-safe blockchains. The result of this study shows that only a small portion of cryptocurrency can resist quantum attacks, while most of the cryptocurrencies used today are vulnerable to quantum attacks, with more than 99.8% of the total cryptocurrency market cap remains at risk. Useful recommendations are provided as a result of this study.
The paper proposes strategic steps that organizations can take to future-proof their security architecture against quantum threats for the security of data integrity and confidentiality in the post-quantum era. it is a very threat that quantum computing is advancing too fast, and the classical cryptographic systems will be in danger. Therefore, we need to modify the methods of cryptography in Quantum- Safe Cryptography. In this paper, we focus on exposing the vulnerabilities of existing public-key cryptosystems faced with quantum attacks and the direction of the post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) algorithm in securing the underlain infrastructure. The paper discusses ongoing efforts to standardize cryptosystems led by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). It overviews several quantum-resistant cryptographic techniques: lattice-based, hash-based, and code-based examples. Moreover, the paper also outlines difficulties in implementing quantum-safe cryptography solutions into currently in-place cybersecurity frameworks, especially in the finance, healthcare, and critical infrastructure industries.
The paper proposes strategic steps that organizations can take to future-proof their security architecture against quantum threats for the security of data integrity and confidentiality in the post-quantum era. it is a very threat that quantum computing is advancing too fast, and the classical cryptographic systems will be in danger. Therefore, we need to modify the methods of cryptography in Quantum-Safe Cryptography. In this paper, we focus on exposing the vulnerabilities of existing public-key cryptosystems faced with quantum attacks and the direction of the post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) algorithm in securing the underlain infrastructure. The paper discusses ongoing efforts to standardize cryptosystems led by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). It overviews several quantum-resistant cryptographic techniques: lattice-based, hash-based, and code-based examples. Moreover, the paper also outlines difficulties in implementing quantum-safe cryptography solutions into currently in-place cybersecurity frameworks, especially in the finance, healthcare, and critical infrastructure industries.