A derivative is a financial security whose value is a function of underlying traded assets and market outcomes. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale (``fair game") probability measure for the model from the given asset prices, and using that probability measure to price the derivative. When the number of underlying assets and/or the number of market outcomes in the model is large, pricing can be computationally demanding. We show that a variety of quantum techniques can be applied to the pricing problem in finance, with a particular focus on incomplete markets. We discuss three different methods that are distinct from previous works: they do not use the quantum algorithms for Monte Carlo estimation and they extract the martingale measure from market variables akin to bootstrapping, a common practice among financial institutions. The first two methods are based on a formulation of the pricing problem into a linear program and are using respectively the quantum zero-sum game algorithm and the quantum simplex algorithm as subroutines. For the last algorithm, we formalize a new market assumption milder than market completeness for which quantum linear systems solvers can be applied with the associated potential for large speedups. As a prototype use case, we conduct numerical experiments in the framework of the Black-Scholes-Merton model.
A derivative is a financial security whose value is a function of underlying traded assets and market outcomes. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale (``fair game") probability measure for the model from the given asset prices, and using that probability measure to price the derivative. When the number of underlying assets and/or the number of market outcomes in the model is large, pricing can be computationally demanding. We show that a variety of quantum techniques can be applied to the pricing problem in finance, with a particular focus on incomplete markets. We discuss three different methods that are distinct from previous works: they do not use the quantum algorithms for Monte Carlo estimation and they extract the martingale measure from market variables akin to bootstrapping, a common practice among financial institutions. The first two methods are based on a formulation of the pricing problem into a linear program and are using respectively the quantum zero-sum game algorithm and the quantum simplex algorithm as subroutines. For the last algorithm, we formalize a new market assumption milder than market completeness for which quantum linear systems solvers can be applied with the associated potential for large speedups. As a prototype use case, we conduct numerical experiments in the framework of the Black-Scholes-Merton model.
A derivative is a financial asset whose future payoff is a function of underlying assets. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale ("fair game") probability measure for the model from the existing asset prices, and using that probability measure to price the derivative. When the number of underlying assets and/or the number of market outcomes in the model is large, pricing can be computationally demanding. In this work, we first formulate the pricing problem in a linear algebra setting, including the realistic setting of incomplete markets where derivatives do not have a unique price. We show that the problem can be solved with a variety of quantum techniques such as quantum linear programming and the quantum linear systems algorithm. While in previous works the martingale measure is assumed to be given, here it is extracted from market variables akin to bootstrapping, a common practice among financial institutions. We discuss the quantum zero-sum game algorithm and the quantum simplex algorithm as viable subroutines. For quantum linear systems solvers, we formalize a new market assumption milder than market completeness, which allows the potential for large speedups. Towards prototype use cases, we conduct numerical experiments motivated by the Black-Scholes-Merton model.
Quantum computers have the potential to provide an advantage for financial pricing problems by the use of quantum estimation. In a broader context, it is reasonable to ask about situations where the market and the assets traded on the market themselves have quantum properties. In this work, we consider a financial setting where instead of by classical probabilities the market is described by a pure quantum state or, more generally, a quantum density operator. This setting naturally leads to a new asset class, which we call quantum assets. Under the assumption that such assets have a price and can be traded, we develop an extended definition of arbitrage to quantify gains without the corresponding risk. Our main result is a quantum version of the first fundamental theorem of asset pricing. If and only if there is no arbitrage, there exists a risk-free density operator under which all assets are martingales. This density operator is used for the pricing of quantum derivatives. To prove the theorem, we study the density operator version of the Radon-Nikodym measure change. We provide examples to illustrate the theory.
This work presents a quantum algorithm for the Monte Carlo pricing of financial derivatives. We show how the relevant probability distributions can be prepared in quantum superposition, the payoff functions can be implemented via quantum circuits, and the price of financial derivatives can be extracted via quantum measurements. We show how the amplitude estimation algorithm can be applied to achieve a quadratic quantum speedup in the number of steps required to obtain an estimate for the price with high confidence. This work provides a starting point for further research at the interface of quantum computing and finance.
Pricing a multiasset derivative is an important problem in financial engineering, both theoretically and practically. Although it is suitable to numerically solve partial differential equations to calculate the prices of certain types of derivatives, the computational complexity increases exponentially as the number of underlying assets increases in some classical methods, such as the finite difference method. Therefore, there are efforts to reduce the computational complexity by using quantum computation. However, when solving with naive quantum algorithms, the target derivative price is embedded in the amplitude of one basis of the quantum state, and so an exponential complexity is required to obtain the solution. To avoid the bottleneck, our previous study utilizes the fact that the present price of a derivative can be obtained by its discounted expected value at any future point in time and shows that the quantum algorithm can reduce the complexity. In this article, to make the algorithm feasible to run on a small quantum computer, we use variational quantum simulation to solve the Black–Scholes equation and compute the derivative price from the inner product between the solution and a probability distribution. This avoids the measurement bottleneck of the naive approach and would provide quantum speedup even in noisy quantum computers. We also conduct numerical experiments to validate our method. Our method will be an important breakthrough in derivative pricing using small-scale quantum computers.
This paper explores advancements in quantum algorithms for derivative pricing of exotics, a computational pipeline of fundamental importance in quantitative finance. For such cases, the classical Monte Carlo integration procedure provides the state-of-the-art provable, asymptotic performance: polynomial in problem dimension and quadratic in inverse-precision. While quantum algorithms are known to offer quadratic speedups over classical Monte Carlo methods, end-to-end speedups have been proven only in the simplified setting over the Black-Scholes geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model. This paper extends existing frameworks to demonstrate novel quadratic speedups for more practical models, such as the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model and a variant of Heston's stochastic volatility model, utilizing a characteristic of the underlying SDEs which we term fast-forwardability. Additionally, for general models that do not possess the fast-forwardable property, we introduce a quantum Milstein sampler, based on a novel quantum algorithm for sampling Lévy areas, which enables quantum multi-level Monte Carlo to achieve quadratic speedups for multi-dimensional stochastic processes exhibiting certain correlation types.
We also present an improved analysis of numerical integration for derivative pricing, leading to substantial reductions in the resource requirements for pricing GBM and CIR models. Furthermore, we investigate the potential for additional reductions using arithmetic-free quantum procedures. Finally, we critique quantum partial differential equation (PDE) solvers as a method for derivative pricing based on amplitude estimation, identifying theoretical barriers that obstruct achieving a quantum speedup through this approach. Our findings significantly advance the understanding of quantum algorithms in derivative pricing, addressing key challenges and open questions in the field.
Following the recent great advance of quantum computing technology, there are growing interests in its applications to industries, including finance. In this article, we focus on derivative pricing based on solving the Black–Scholes partial differential equation by the finite-difference method (FDM), which is a suitable approach for some types of derivatives but suffers from thecurse of dimensionality, that is, exponential growth of complexity in the case of multiple underlying assets. We propose a quantum algorithm for FDM-based pricing of multi-asset derivative with exponential speedup with respect to dimensionality compared with classical algorithms. The proposed algorithm utilizes the quantum algorithm for solving differential equations, which is based on quantum linear system algorithms. Addressing the specific issue in derivative pricing, that is, extracting the derivative price for the present underlying asset prices from the output state of the quantum algorithm, we present the whole of the calculation process and estimate its complexity. We believe that the proposed method opens the new possibility of accurate and high-speed derivative pricing by quantum computers.