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arXiv:2204.00087 · Asia Conference on Algorithms, Computing and Machine Learning (CACML)

A quantum learning approach based on Hidden Markov Models for failure scenarios generation

Ahmed Zaiou, Younès Bennani, Basarab Mateï, Mohamed Hibti

Published Mar 1, 2022• 5 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Finding the failure scenarios of a system is a very complex problem in the field of Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). In order to solve this problem we will use the Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) to create a generative model. Therefore, in this paper, we will study and compare the results of HQMMs and classical Hidden Markov Models HMM on a real datasets generated from real small systems in the field of PSA. As a quality metric we will use Description accuracy DA and we will show that the quantum approach gives better results compared with the classical approach, and we will give a strategy to identify the probable and no-probable failure scenarios of a system.

DOI
10.1109/cacml55074.2022.00019

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Finding the failure scenarios of a system is a very complex problem in the field of Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). In order to solve this problem we will use the Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) to create a generative model. Therefore, in this paper, we will study and compare the results of HQMMs and classical Hidden Markov Models HMM on a real datasets generated from real small systems in the field of PSA. As a quality metric we will use Description accuracy DA and we will show that the quantum approach gives better results compared with the classical approach, and we will give a strategy to identify the probable and no-probable failure scenarios of a system.
Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be simulated on a quantum circuit, (2) we reformulate HQMMs by relaxing the constraints for modeling HMMs on quantum circuits, and (3) we present a learning algorithm to estimate the parameters of an HQMM from data. While our algorithm requires further optimization to handle larger datasets, we are able to evaluate our algorithm using several synthetic datasets. We show that on HQMM generated data, our algorithm learns HQMMs with the same number of hidden states and predictive accuracy as the true HQMMs, while HMMs learned with the Baum-Welch algorithm require more states to match the predictive accuracy.
Extending classical probabilistic reasoning using the quantum mechanical view of probability has been of recent interest, particularly in the development of hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) to model stochastic processes. However, there has been little progress in characterizing the expressiveness of such models and learning them from data. We tackle these problems by showing that HQMMs are a special subclass of the general class of observable operator models (OOMs) that do not suffer from the \emph{negative probability problem} by design. We also provide a feasible retraction-based learning algorithm for HQMMs using constrained gradient descent on the Stiefel manifold of model parameters. We demonstrate that this approach is faster and scales to larger models than previous learning algorithms.
The Hidden Quantum Markov Model (HQMM) has significant potential for analyzing time-series data and studying stochastic processes in the quantum domain as an upgrading option with potential advantages over classical Markov models. In this paper, we introduced the split HQMM (SHQMM) for implementing the hidden quantum Markov process, utilizing the conditional master equation with a fine balance condition to demonstrate the interconnections among the internal states of the quantum system. The experimental results suggest that our model outperforms previous models in terms of scope of applications and robustness. Additionally, we establish a new learning algorithm to solve parameters in HQMM by relating the quantum conditional master equation to the HQMM. Finally, our study provides clear evidence that the quantum transport system can be considered a physical representation of HQMM. The SHQMM with accompanying algorithms present a novel method to analyze quantum systems and time series grounded in physical implementation.
Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols constitute the output of the machine and form an infinite time series. Analogously, Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMM) produce an infinite time series, while progressing from one quantum state to another through stochastic quantum operations. Here we compare 1-bit HMMs and 1-qubit HQMMs and show that the latter can produce stronger correlations, although both machines are, in principle, comparable in resources.
Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols constitute the output of the machine and form an infinite time series. Analogously, Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMM) produce an infinite time series, while progressing from one quantum state to another through stochastic quantum operations. Here we compare 1-bit HMMs and 1-qubit HQMMs and show that the latter can produce stronger correlations, although both machines are, in principle, comparable in resources.
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely used probabilistic models for discrete sequential data but can be limited when hidden dynamics are complex. Hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) generalize HMMs by replacing probability vectors with density matrices and stochastic transitions with quantum operations, enabling richer latent representations. However, existing HQMM learning methods have not consistently outperformed Expectation--Maximization (EM)-trained HMMs on data not generated by quantum processes, limiting their practical applicability. We introduce NS-RIS, Newton--Schulz Retraction-based Inference on the Stiefel manifold, a scalable algorithm for learning trace-preserving HQMMs. NS-RIS uses Newton--Schulz orthogonalization to compute a polar-factor search direction while preserving Stiefel-manifold feasibility, avoiding costly matrix decompositions. We further establish a finite-time stationarity guarantee under standard assumptions on smoothness, stochastic gradients, and finite Newton--Schulz accuracy. Empirically, NS-RIS provides the first benchmark evidence that an HQMM can significantly outperform an EM-trained HMM on data not generated by a quantum model. On synthetic HMM-generated benchmarks, NS-RIS outperforms both EM and the state-of-the-art HQMM method COSM, improving the evaluation metric by an average of 38.5% and by up to 50.6%. On a synthetic HQMM benchmark, it improves the test metric over COSM by 18.9% while reducing runtime by 12.0%. On the real-world Splice classification benchmark, NS-RIS also surpasses both EM and COSM in higher-dimensional latent regimes, reducing mean classification error by 17.9% for latent dimension 6 and 14.9% for latent dimension 8 relative to COSM. These results move HQMMs beyond a theoretical generalization of HMMs and establish them as practical and expressive models for scientific sequence data.