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arXiv:2012.06283 · Quantum

Quantum-accelerated multilevel Monte Carlo methods for stochastic differential equations in mathematical finance

Dong An, Noah Linden, Jin-Peng Liu, Ashley Montanaro, Changpeng Shao, Jiasu Wang

Published Jun 24, 2021• 61 citations
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Abstract

Inspired by recent progress in quantum algorithms for ordinary and partial differential equations, we study quantum algorithms for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly we provide a quantum algorithm that gives a quadratic speed-up for multilevel Monte Carlo methods in a general setting. As applications, we apply it to compute expectation values determined by classical solutions of SDEs, with improved dependence on precision. We demonstrate the use of this algorithm in a variety of applications arising in mathematical finance, such as the Black-Scholes and Local Volatility models, and Greeks. We also provide a quantum algorithm based on sublinear binomial sampling for the binomial option pricing model with the same improvement.

DOI
10.22331/q-2021-06-24-481

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Inspired by recent progress in quantum algorithms for ordinary and partial differential equations, we study quantum algorithms for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly we provide a quantum algorithm that gives a quadratic speed-up for multilevel Monte Carlo methods in a general setting. As applications, we apply it to compute expectation values determined by classical solutions of SDEs, with improved dependence on precision. We demonstrate the use of this algorithm in a variety of applications arising in mathematical finance, such as the Black-Scholes and Local Volatility models, and Greeks. We also provide a quantum algorithm based on sublinear binomial sampling for the binomial option pricing model with the same improvement.
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) model noisy dynamical systems across quantitative finance, chemistry, physics, and climate science. Classical solvers-Euler-Maruyama schemes, Monte Carlo methods, and finite-difference PDE solvers for Fokker-Planck equations-suffer from exponential growth in computational cost with dimension and accuracy requirements. We present a family of quantum algorithms for simulating and solving SDEs with improved scaling. Our approach combines Hamiltonian simulation for drift terms, quantum random number generation for noise increments, and quantum amplitude estimation for computing expectations. For linear and semilinear SDEs with Lipschitz coefficients, we prove that relevant quantities (option prices, expected hitting times, moments) can be estimated to accuracy ε in time Õ(poly(d)polylog(1/ε)), versus classical O(poly(d)/ε 2). For nonlinear SDEs, we introduce variational quantum schemes leveraging parameterized circuits, with a priori error bounds and trainability analysis avoiding barren plateaus. We analyze multi-asset Black-Scholes models, Heston stochastic volatility, and Langevin dynamics for molecular coarse-graining, quantifying resource requirements (qubits, gate depth, oracle calls). Numerical simulations on small instances demonstrate polynomial-to-super-polynomial empirical speedups in accuracy for fixed runtime, establishing SDE solving as a promising quantum-accelerated task with practical applications.
We study quantum speedups of derivative pricing for stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) models through their backward doubly stochastic differential equation (BDSDE) representations. We develop conditional and nested quantum-accelerated multilevel Monte Carlo (QA-MLMC) methods for estimating the resulting conditional and nested expectations, improving the sampling complexity of classical Monte Carlo methods from O~(ε−2)\widetilde{O}(ε^{-2})O(ε−2) to O~(ε−1)\widetilde{O}(ε^{-1})O(ε−1) within additive error εεε. We apply the framework to derivative pricing and sensitivity analysis, providing quantum-accelerated estimators for prices as well as first-order and second-order Greeks, likelihood-ratio and Malliavin-weight representations for Greeks, and Heston-type stochastic-volatility models. To enable efficient multilevel coupling, we construct a family of Forward--Backward Taylor discretization schemes for the stochastic integrals arising in the BDSDE representations and establish global strong-error order one convergence for pricing and Greek estimators. Numerical experiments showcase our schemes for first-order and second-order Greeks can reach the required orders for the full quadratic quantum speedups.
This paper explores advancements in quantum algorithms for derivative pricing of exotics, a computational pipeline of fundamental importance in quantitative finance. For such cases, the classical Monte Carlo integration procedure provides the state-of-the-art provable, asymptotic performance: polynomial in problem dimension and quadratic in inverse-precision. While quantum algorithms are known to offer quadratic speedups over classical Monte Carlo methods, end-to-end speedups have been proven only in the simplified setting over the Black-Scholes geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model. This paper extends existing frameworks to demonstrate novel quadratic speedups for more practical models, such as the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model and a variant of Heston's stochastic volatility model, utilizing a characteristic of the underlying SDEs which we term fast-forwardability. Additionally, for general models that do not possess the fast-forwardable property, we introduce a quantum Milstein sampler, based on a novel quantum algorithm for sampling Lévy areas, which enables quantum multi-level Monte Carlo to achieve quadratic speedups for multi-dimensional stochastic processes exhibiting certain correlation types. We also present an improved analysis of numerical integration for derivative pricing, leading to substantial reductions in the resource requirements for pricing GBM and CIR models. Furthermore, we investigate the potential for additional reductions using arithmetic-free quantum procedures. Finally, we critique quantum partial differential equation (PDE) solvers as a method for derivative pricing based on amplitude estimation, identifying theoretical barriers that obstruct achieving a quantum speedup through this approach. Our findings significantly advance the understanding of quantum algorithms in derivative pricing, addressing key challenges and open questions in the field.
Quantum Monte Carlo integration (QMCI), a quantum algorithm for calculating expectations that provides a quadratic speed-up compared to its classical counterpart, is now attracting increasing interest in the context of its industrial and scientific applications. In this paper, we propose the first application of QMCI to solving McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs), a nonlinear class of SDEs whose drift and diffusion coefficients depend on the law μt\mu _{t}μt​ of the solution XtX_{t}Xt​ —appearing in fields such as finance and fluid mechanics. We focus on the problem setting where the coefficients depend on μt\mu _{t}μt​ through expectations of some functions E[φk(Xt)]\mathbb{E}[\varphi _{k}(X_{t})]E[φk​(Xt​)] , and the goal is to compute the expectation of a function E[ϕ(XT)]\mathbb{E}[\phi (X_{T})]E[ϕ(XT​)] at a terminal time T . We devise a quantum algorithm that leverages QMCI to compute these expectations, combined with a high-order time discretization method for SDEs and extrapolation of the expectations in time. The proposed algorithm estimates E[ϕ(XT)]\mathbb{E}[\phi (X_{T})]E[ϕ(XT​)] with accuracy ϵ , making O(1/ϵ1+2/p)O(1/\epsilon ^{1+2/p})O(1/ϵ1+2/p) queries to the quantum circuit for time evolution over one step, where p∈(1,2]p\in (1,2]p∈(1,2] is the weak order of the SDE discretization method. This demonstrates the speed-up over the well-known classical algorithm called the particle method with complexity of O(1/ϵ3)O(1/\epsilon ^{3})O(1/ϵ3) . We conduct numerical demonstrations of our quantum algorithm applied to examples of MVSDEs, with some parts emulated classically, and observe that the accuracy and complexity behave as expected.
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which model uncertain phenomena as the time evolution of random variables, are exploited in various fields of natural and social sciences such as finance. Since SDEs rarely admit analytical solutions and must usually be solved numerically with huge classical-computational resources in practical applications, there is strong motivation to use quantum computation to accelerate the calculation. Here, we propose a quantum-classical hybrid algorithm that solves SDEs based on variational quantum simulation. We first approximate the target SDE by a trinomial tree structure with discretization and then formulate it as the time-evolution of a quantum state embedding the probability distributions of the SDE variables. We embed the probability distribution directly in the amplitudes of the quantum state whereas the previous studies took the square-root of the probability distribution in the amplitudes. Our embedding enables us to construct simple quantum circuits that simulate the time-evolution of the state for general SDEs. We also develop a scheme to compute the expectation values of the SDE variables and discuss whether our scheme can achieve quantum speedup for the expectation-value evaluations of the SDE variables. Finally, we numerically validate our algorithm by simulating several types of stochastic processes. Our proposal provides a new direction for simulating SDEs on quantum computers.
The solution of option-pricing problems may turn out to be computationally demanding due to non-linear and path-dependent payoffs, the high dimensionality arising from multiple underlying assets, and sophisticated models of price dynamics. In this context, quantum computing has been proposed as a means to address these challenges efficiently. Prevailing approaches either simulate the stochastic differential equations governing the forward dynamics of underlying asset prices or directly solve the backward pricing partial differential equation. Here, we present an end-to-end quantum algorithmic framework that solves the Kolmogorov forward (Fokker-Planck) partial differential equation for local-volatility models by mapping it to a Hamiltonian-simulation problem via the Schrödingerisation technique. The algorithm specifies how to prepare the initial quantum state, perform Hamiltonian simulation, and how to efficiently recover the option price via a swap test. In particular, the efficiency of the final solution recovery is an important advantage of solving the forward versus the backward partial differential equation. Thus, our end-to-end framework offers a potential route toward quantum advantage for challenging option-pricing tasks. In particular, we obtain a polynomial advantage in grid size for the discretization of a single dimension. Nevertheless, the true power of our methodology lies in pricing high-dimensional systems, such as baskets of options, because the quantum framework admits an exponential speedup with respect to dimension, overcoming the classical curse of dimensionality.