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arXiv:1508.06182 · IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Signal Processing

Solving the Optimal Trading Trajectory Problem Using a Quantum Annealer

Gili Rosenberg, Poya Haghnegahdar, Phil Goddard, Peter Carr, Kesheng John Wu, Marcos López de Prado

Published Jun 2, 2016• 173 citations
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Abstract

We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs (including permanent and temporary market impact), and, significantly, the solution does not require the inversion of a covariance matrix. The discrete multi-period portfolio optimization problem we solve is significantly harder than the continuous variable problem. We present insight into how results may be improved using suitable software enhancements and why current quantum annealing technology limits the size of problem that can be successfully solved today. The formulation presented is specifically designed to be scalable, with the expectation that as quantum annealing technology improves, larger problems will be solvable using the same techniques.

DOI
10.1109/jstsp.2016.2574703

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We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs (including permanent and temporary market impact), and, significantly, the solution does not require the inversion of a covariance matrix. The discrete multi-period portfolio optimization problem we solve is significantly harder than the continuous variable problem. We present insight into how results may be improved using suitable software enhancements and why current quantum annealing technology limits the size of problem that can be successfully solved today. The formulation presented is specifically designed to be scalable, with the expectation that as quantum annealing technology improves, larger problems will be solvable using the same techniques.
We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs (including permanent and temporary market impact), and, significantly, the solution does not require the inversion of a covariance matrix. The discrete multi-period portfolio optimization problem we solve is significantly harder than the continuous variable problem. We present insight into how results may be improved using suitable software enhancements, and why current quantum annealing technology limits the size of problem that can be successfully solved today. The formulation presented is specifically designed to be scalable, with the expectation that as quantum annealing technology improves, larger problems will be solvable using the same techniques.
One of the problems frequently mentioned as a candidate for quantum advantage is that of selecting a portfolio of financial assets to maximize returns while minimizing risk. In this paper we formulate several real-world constraints for use in a Quantum Annealer (QA), extending the scenarios in which the algorithm can be implemented. Specifically, we show how to add fundamental analysis to the portfolio optimization problem, adding in asset-specific and global constraints based on chosen balance sheet metrics. We also expand on previous work in improving the constraint to enforce investment bands in sectors and limiting the number of assets to invest in, creating a robust and flexible solution amenable to QA. Importantly, we analyze the current state-of-the-art algorithms for solving such a problem using D-Wave's Quantum Processor and compare the quality of the solutions obtained to commercially-available optimization software. We explore a variety of traditional and new constraints that make the problem computationally harder to solve and show that even with these additional constraints, classical algorithms outperform current hybrid solutions in the static portfolio optimization model.
In this paper we tackle the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization, i.e., determining the optimal trading trajectory for an investment portfolio of assets over a period of time, taking into account transaction costs and other possible constraints. This problem is central to quantitative finance. After a detailed introduction to the problem, we implement a number of quantum and quantum-inspired algorithms on different hardware platforms to solve its discrete formulation using real data from daily prices over 8 years of 52 assets, and do a detailed comparison of the obtained Sharpe ratios, profits, and computing times. In particular, we implement classical solvers (Gekko, exhaustive), D-wave hybrid quantum annealing, two different approaches based on variational quantum eigensolvers on IBM-Q (one of them brand-new and tailored to the problem), and for the first time in this context also a quantum-inspired optimizer based on tensor networks. In order to fit the data into each specific hardware platform, we also consider doing a preprocessing based on clustering of assets. From our comparison, we conclude that D-wave hybrid and tensor networks are able to handle the largest systems, where we do calculations up to 1272 fully-connected qubits for demonstrative purposes. Finally, we also discuss how to mathematically implement other possible real-life constraints, as well as several ideas to further improve the performance of the studied methods.
Quantum annealing has emerged as a promising computational paradigm for solving large-scale combinatorial optimization problems that are intractable for classical algorithms. Financial portfolio optimization, which involves balancing expected returns against risk under multiple practical constraints, represents one of the most challenging optimization tasks in quantitative finance. Traditional approaches based on mean-variance theory, heuristic meta-optimization, and classical quadratic programming often struggle to scale efficiently as the dimensionality of assets and constraints increases. This study explores the application of quantum annealing techniques to financial portfolio optimization by formulating the problem as a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization model suitable for quantum hardware. The paper provides a systematic mapping of portfolio objectives and constraints into the Ising Hamiltonian framework and analyzes how quantum tunneling and probabilistic state transitions can enhance convergence toward near-global optima. Comparative insights between classical solvers and quantum annealing-based approaches are discussed in terms of solution quality, computational efficiency, and scalability. Furthermore, the study highlights current hardware limitations, embedding challenges, and noise effects that influence optimization performance. The findings indicate that quantum annealing offers substantial potential for accelerating portfolio optimization in high-dimensional financial systems, particularly in scenarios involving complex constraints and dynamic market conditions, thereby establishing a foundation for future quantum-driven financial decision-support systems.
Quantum finance has emerged as a key research area as interest grows in leveraging quantum computing for solving complex optimization problems in financial technology. Quantum annealing (QA), which leverages quantum tunneling effects, presents a promising method for tackling portfolio optimization challenges that primarily involve balancing risk and return. Traditional single-solution optimization approaches often fail to accommodate diverse investor preferences regarding risk tolerance and expected returns. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel bi-objective weighted portfolio optimization framework based on the trend ratio (TR) model. Our approach integrates D-Wave's advanced constrained quadratic model (CQM) hybrid solver with QA and employs scalarization-based non-dominated analysis, enabling multiple runs with different weights between risk and return to effectively achieve bi-objective optimization. This flexible strategy generates a diverse set of high-quality solutions tailored to different investor profiles. In our experiments, we investigate the interaction between two well-known international stock indices, DJI and Nikkei, to gain insights into cross-market dynamics and enhance portfolio diversification. Experimental results show that the proposed approach consistently demonstrates strong potential compared to conventional multi-objective optimization algorithms, delivering solutions with improved quality and computational efficiency. These findings highlight the potential of quantum computing in advancing financial decision-making and portfolio optimization.
Quantum computing, leveraging principles such as superposition and entanglement, has shown remarkable potential in solving complex optimization problems. Quantum annealing (QA) is particularly effective for combinatorial optimization and has gained increasing attention in financial applications. However, financial decision-making problems typically involve conflicting objectives, such as the trade-off between minimizing risk and maximizing returns, posing challenges for current QA approaches in efficiently encoding multi-objective problems and constraints. To address this gap, we propose the first quantum annealing framework for bi-objective weighted portfolio optimization based on the trend ratio model, integrating D-Wave's latest constrained quadratic model (CQM) hybrid solver. Our approach offers flexibility to accommodate diverse investor preferences. Experimental evaluations using real-world U.S. stock market data demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, showing higher-quality solutions and faster runtimes compared to classical multi-objective optimization algorithms. These promising results highlight the significant potential of quantum computing in practical financial optimization scenarios.